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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:57:02 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins          14    1   15     Gk Owen Rooney            10    0   10
Sw Kai Laidlaw             6    2    8     Sw Connor Robinson        10    0   10
Df Markus Jacobsen        12    0   12     Df Bryan Price            10    0   10
Df Axel Lacour            10    2   12     Df Luke Sinclair          10    0   10
Df Hayden Duncan           2    2    4     Df Logan Smith             7    1    8
Mf Gabriel Welbeck        11    0   11     Df Diego Torres            6    2    8
Mf Gareth Scott            5    2    7     Mf Evan Jones             10    0   10
Fw William Hay            13    0   13     Mf Ian Hanny              10    0   10
Fw Fernando Cano          11    2   13     Mf Tony Long               6    2    8
Fw William Bell            5    2    7     Fw Gregory Hines          13    0   13
Fw Joseph Padilla          5    1    6     Fw Hans Frings             9    0    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  8 28 18 39        ROSTER TOTALS      10 10 36 28 22    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  8 28 18 39         T O T A L S       10 10 43 28 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 66.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.03 (no second yellow)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.88 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.77 (no red card)

Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.1 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.66 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.86 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.77 (no red card)

Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.84 (no red card)

Fw Joseph Padilla: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.65 (no red card)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.16 (no red card)

Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.25 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.12 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.94 (no red card)

Df Logan Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.01 (no red card)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.4 (no second yellow)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.43 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.83 (no red card)

Mf Tony Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.45 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.12 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.75 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.14 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.91 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.99 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.6 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.24 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.73 (no injury) 
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.48 (no injury) 
Fw Joseph Padilla: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.81 (no injury) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.6 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.63 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.46 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.8 (no injury) 
Df Logan Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.63 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.79 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.78 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.43 (no injury) 
Mf Tony Long: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.16 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.08 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.4 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Hay SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 10

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gregory Hines SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   16   8  28  18  39
  Chippenham Town FC       10  10  43  28  22

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 43)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 32.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       10  10  43  28  22
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   16   8  28  18  39

Chippenham Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 28)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 18) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((43 - 39) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Luke Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ian Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Tony Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0  -  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
A point will do it for the Diamonds while a three goal win should guarantee Chippenham qualification
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/11 - 3:59 PM
I don't think you are in much danger John!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 01/12 - 3:34 PM
Well, there's your point!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 01/18 - 11:56 AM
 
 
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