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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:57:02 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney             9    0    9     Gk Luca Werner            13    0   13
Sw Connor Robinson         9    0    9     Sw Sean Carroll           10    0   10
Df Bryan Price            10    0   10     Df Mathias Sørensen       13    0   13
Df Luke Sinclair          10    0   10     Df Luke Crowley           10    0   10
Df Diego Torres            5    2    7     Df Sean Callahan          10    0   10
Mf Evan Jones             10    0   10     Df Steve Gordon            5    2    7
Mf Ian Hanny              10    0   10     Mf Fernando Rocha         13    0   13
Mf David Kirk              9    0    9     Mf Julian Caballero       10    0   10
Fw Gregory Hines          13    0   13     Mf Jordi Navarro           5    2    7
Fw Kinga Nemes            10    0   10     Fw Michael Turner         13    0   13
Fw Elias Blucher           5    2    7     Fw Daniel Barbosa          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  9 27 29 30        ROSTER TOTALS      13 10 40 30 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9  9 27 29 30         T O T A L S       13 13 40 30 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.92 (no red card)

Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.14 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.6 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.97 (no red card)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.56 (no second yellow)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.95 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.61 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.46 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.06 (no red card)

Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.52 (no red card)

Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.29 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.25 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.76 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 88.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.25 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 98.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 14.78 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 49.55 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 76.65 (no second yellow)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 47.77 (no red card)

Mf Julian Caballero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 93.85 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 2.58 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.99 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 39.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 96.01 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.53 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.86 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 51.97 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 18.5 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.51 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.01 (no injury) 
Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 89.59 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 77.63 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 71.63 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.93 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.3 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.46 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.29 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.85 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.52 (no injury) 
Mf Julian Caballero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.84 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.08 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.06 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gregory Hines SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mathias Sørensen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 9

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       9   9  27  29  30
  Tonbridge Angels         13  13  40  30  20

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 40)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Diego Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 64.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Bryan Price
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Diego Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         13  13  40  30  20
  Chippenham Town FC       9   9  27  29  30

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 27)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 85.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Luke Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 75.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2
 
Match Notes
This time, a bit more clear cut and we don't expect to win this one!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 12/21 - 10:49 PM
We need a win to get out of the group this time.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/04 - 6:10 PM
Not much in it but we got the job done. Unlucky Mike.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/11 - 7:39 PM
Closer than I expected it to be, and lady luck not on our side
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 01/12 - 3:32 PM
 
 
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