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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Green           13    0   13     Gk Florian De Vos         11    2   13
Df Hernan Torres          10    1   11     Sw Lennard Richter         4    0    4
Df Paolo Rinaldi           8    1    9     Df Trevor Harewood         5    2    7
Df Marty Hunter            6    2    8     Df Sam Bishop              3    2    5
Df Theo Rowe               2    2    4     Df Gabriel Williams        2    2    4
Mf Roger Flinders         13    1   14     Mf Michael Möller          6    2    8
Mf Pedro Gomes            10    1   11     Mf Benjamin Healy          2    2    4
Mf Finn Paterson           6    2    8     Fw Glenn Cook              7    0    7
Mf Arsenio  Pérez          2    2    4     Fw John Coppell            7    0    7
Fw Philipp Wagner          6    2    8     Fw William Torres          6    2    8
Fw Finn Maier              6    2    8     Fw Ian Hunter              2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13  0 32 37 16        ROSTER TOTALS      13  4 16 12 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  0 32 37 16         T O T A L S       13  7 20 12 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.82 (no red card)

Df Hernan Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no red card)

Df Paolo Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.95 (no red card)

Df Marty Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.38 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.04 (no red card)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.74 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.6 (no red card)

Mf Finn Paterson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.62 (no red card)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.12 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Arsenio  Pérez new match skill level =  1
      Arsenio  Pérez new match total level =  3

Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.38 (no red card)

Fw Finn Maier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.57 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.49 (no red card)

Sw Lennard Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.57 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.12 (no red card)

Df Sam Bishop: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.69 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.92 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)

Fw Glenn Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.91 (no red card)

Fw John Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.33 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.31 (no second yellow)

Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.59 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.65 (no injury) 
Df Hernan Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.38 (no injury) 
Df Paolo Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.58 (no injury) 
Df Marty Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.98 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.96 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.3 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Paterson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.96 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.62 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.41 (no injury) 
Fw Finn Maier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.77 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.93 (no injury) 
Sw Lennard Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.0 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.46 (no injury) 
Df Sam Bishop: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.92 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.67 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.62 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.27 (no injury) 
Fw Glenn Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.11 (no injury) 
Fw John Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.04 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.82 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.83 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roger Flinders SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 11

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Glenn Cook SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 13

     intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           13   0  32  36  16
  Harrogate Railway AFC    13   7  20  12  26

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 20)
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((36 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((32 - 26) / 5); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Hernan Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 34.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Marty Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Arsenio  Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 57.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Arsenio  Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Pedro Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Pedro Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Finn Paterson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Pedro Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Finn Paterson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Pedro Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    13   7  20  12  26
  Kendal Town FC           13   0  32  36  16

Kendal Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 32)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((20 - 16) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Trevor Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kendal Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 1  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
I'm not angry at this draw, just disappointed
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/19 - 12:22 AM
Railway are through. Kendal through with a point, or in a loss if Mossley don't win and make up 4 goals of difference.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:25 AM
Ian: Can we just agree to collude with Youth Cup teams here?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/19 - 12:37 AM
Both teams will be saving their Top 11 players for their respective games against Dave Dohm's WImbledon. My prediction here 0-0.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/20 - 10:35 PM
As always the target on our back
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/22 - 12:13 AM
Top 11s saved as a purely defensive measure to compensate for Dave's use of GPP and Hardness.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/24 - 11:47 AM
This need to be investigated immediately...collusion is obvious
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 05/24 - 12:39 PM
The league office has long promised to investigate Dave's use of GPP and Hardness.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 05/24 - 2:40 PM
Mental note: When Ian says he will collude he means more "collude-lite" where its the Youth Cup team plus "just enough to win".
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/25 - 7:20 PM
Well played I-Man. Don't worry we have a number of investigations underway on Honest Dave...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/25 - 7:20 PM
 
 
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