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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          11    1   12     Gk Owen Brudenell         12    0   12
Sw Jamie Johnson          14    1   15     Sw Lucas Moore             6    2    8
Df Thomás Lebre           10    1   11     Df André Carvalho         11    0   11
Df Philipp Koch            6    2    8     Df Jamie Whiteside        11    0   11
Df Reis  Golan             6    2    8     Df Josh Martin            10    0   10
Mf Jonathan Heddle        12    0   12     Df John Tufnel             6    2    8
Mf Nathan Dean             6    2    8     Mf Chuck Knox             11    0   11
Mf David Perry             6    2    8     Mf Melker Lundin           6    2    8
Fw Facundo Bruno          15    0   15     Mf Jakob Schmitz           5    2    7
Fw Jamie Carroll          12    0   12     Fw Toby Hall               5    2    7
Fw Nathan Phillips        11    0   11     Fw Taylor Shilton          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 15 27 28 38        ROSTER TOTALS      12  8 40 26 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  3  4  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 30 32 40         T O T A L S       12  8 40 28 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.42 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.77 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.02 (no red card)

Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.85 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.1 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.53 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.41 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.31 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.75 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.15 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.23 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.75 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.89 (no red card)

Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.32 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.32 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 32.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.7 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.0 (no second yellow)

Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.8 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 93.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.18 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.59 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.81 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.81 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.32 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Philipp Koch is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Philipp Koch new match skill level =  3
      Philipp Koch new match total level =  5
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.33 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.03 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.2 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.79 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.12 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.38 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.07 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 78.89 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.18 (no injury) 
Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.27 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.81 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.21 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.78 (no injury) 
Mf Chuck Knox: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.28 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.26 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.88 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.36 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Carvalho SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 11

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            12  15  27  32  40
  Bridgwater Town          12   8  40  28  14

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 40)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((32 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((27 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 58.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 76.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Reis  Golan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 72.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 17.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          12   8  40  28  14
  Luton Town FC            12  15  27  32  40

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 27)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 2  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
This one has been pretty even since Martyn took the helm, should be a good one.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/31 - 7:26 PM
 
 
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