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Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIDGWATER TOWN                            MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Viggo Lindqvist         7    0    7     Gk Carlton Fortune-West    2    2    4
Sw Lucas Moore             2    2    4     Sw Paul MacKenzie          9    0    9
Df Cameron Ramsay          5    2    7     Df William Cockham        14    0   14
Df Josh Martin             5    2    7     Df Andrea De Luca         10    0   10
Df John Tufnel             2    2    4     Df Erik Meyer              2    2    4
Mf Patrick Gallaher        5    2    7     Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu           10    0   10
Mf Toby Robertson          5    2    7     Mf Robbie Mitchell         6    1    7
Mf Jakob Schmitz           2    2    4     Mf Thomas Constant         5    2    7
Mf Melker Lundin           2    2    4     Fw Nico Fuchs             10    0   10
Fw Elvis Kristoffersen     5    2    7     Fw Rob Ramsey              8    0    8
Fw Jay Meldrum             5    2    7     Fw Eirik Iversen           2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  4 18 22 14        ROSTER TOTALS       4  9 28 24 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  4 18 22 14         T O T A L S        4  9 28 24 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.62 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.88 (no red card)

Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.34 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.29 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.83 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.48 (no red card)

Mf Toby Robertson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.83 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.61 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.33 (no red card)

Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.2 (no second yellow)

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.46 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.41 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.46 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.05 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.23 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.77 (no red card)

Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.3 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.61 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.82 (no red card)

Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Viggo Lindqvist: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.19 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.0 (no injury) 
Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.95 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Cameron Ramsay is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.01 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.32 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.94 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Robertson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.67 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.83 (no injury) 
Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.2 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.08 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.71 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.88 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.94 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.92 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.24 (no injury) 
Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.66 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.44 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.03 (no injury) 
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cameron Ramsay SL 5
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 2

     intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Viggo Lindqvist SL 7

     intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          7   4  18  22  14
  Mossley AFC              4   9  28  24  22

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 28)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0


*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              4   9  28  24  22
  Bridgwater Town          7   4  18  22  14

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (22 - 18); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((28 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 84.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 58.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df William Cockham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Andrea De Luca
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 92.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Rob Ramsey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 80.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIDGWATER TOWN 0  -  MOSSLEY AFC 4
 
Match Notes
Bridgwater need to better Worksop's result or win by a large margin. Mossley are basically eliminated - need to win, Worksop to lose, and make up 8 goals.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/05 - 6:44 AM
Good luck Martyn (though you won't need it)
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/09 - 5:15 PM
Whoa! Surprised me!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/15 - 5:31 PM
 
 
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