(N)
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIDGWATER TOWN WELLING UNITED FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Owen Brudenell 4 2 6 Gk Euan Fleming 14 1 15 Sw Luiz Dias 5 2 7 Mf Luca Herrmann 12 0 12 Df Derek Cook 10 0 10 Df Ian Jackson 10 0 10 Df André Carvalho 6 2 8 Df Amine Monteil 5 2 7 Df Cameron Ramsay 2 2 4 Mf Thomas Williams 14 0 14 Df Josh Martin 2 2 4 Fw Nicholas Clark 6 1 7 Mf Geoffrey Simpson 6 2 8 Fw Gordon Andrews 11 0 11 Mf Patrick Gallaher 2 2 4 Fw Lorenzo Santana 10 1 11 Mf Toby Robertson 2 2 4 Fw Nils Pettersson 6 2 8 Fw Tyler Trickelbank 6 2 8 Fw Samuel Rose 6 2 8 Fw Elvis Kristoffersen 2 2 4 Fw Arran Fergus 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 7 26 16 12 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 17 26 49 0 0 2 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 6 7 28 16 12 T O T A L S 15 0 17 26 49 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.59 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.49 (no red card) Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.62 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.5 (no second yellow) Df Derek Cook: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.17 (no red card) Df André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.87 (no red card) Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.65 (no red card) Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.2 (no red card) Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.49 (no red card) Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.82 (no red card) Mf Toby Robertson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.55 (no red card) Fw Tyler Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 22.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.94 (no red card) Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card) ******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.08 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.61 (no red card) Mf Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.31 (no red card) Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.27 (no red card) Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no red card) Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.19 (no red card) Fw Nicholas Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.23 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.19 (no second yellow) Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.53 (no red card) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.65 (no red card) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.75 (no red card) Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.42 (no red card) Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.82 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2 - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 0.02 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Owen Brudenell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Owen Brudenell new match skill level = 2 Owen Brudenell new match total level = 4 Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury) Df Derek Cook: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.2 (no injury) Df André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.56 (no injury) Df Cameron Ramsay: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.51 (no injury) Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.18 (no injury) Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.39 (no injury) Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.41 (no injury) Mf Toby Robertson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.06 (no injury) Fw Tyler Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.59 (no injury) Fw Elvis Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.45 (no injury) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0 - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) Mf Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury) Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.86 (no injury) Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.75 (no injury) Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.09 (no injury) Fw Nicholas Clark: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.8 (no injury) Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.96 (no injury) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.31 (no injury) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.71 (no injury) Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.13 (no injury) Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.21 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Derek Cook SL 10 - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 14 intRndPk = 78 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Thomas Williams SL 14 - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 2 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bridgwater Town 4 7 28 16 12 Welling United FC 15 0 17 26 49 Welling United FC is using Offside Trap! Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 17) Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 49) / 3; rounded up) Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0 ******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Welling United FC 15 0 17 26 49 Bridgwater Town 4 7 28 16 12 Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 21 (49 - 28); result rounded up Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((26 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up Welling United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((17 - 12) / 5); result rounded up Welling United FC Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Df Amine Monteil Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 33.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Nicholas Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nicholas Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 24.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 3.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 90.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 19: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 80.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 47.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Nicholas Clark Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 87.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIDGWATER TOWN 0 - WELLING UNITED FC 3
Match Notes
Welling through unless Bridgwater win by 6 or more goals and Rushden also win. Bridgwater just need to not lose and better Rushden's result to advance.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:27 AM
...or win by 6 goals.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:27 AM