(N)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS WELLING UNITED FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Gordon Wilkins 13 0 13 Gk Euan Fleming 13 0 13
Sw Luís Morais 10 0 10 Df Jake McDonald 14 0 14
Df Charles Clarke 13 0 13 Df Ian Jackson 10 0 10
Df Simon Charlton 11 0 11 Df Benjamin Charlton 10 0 10
Df Markus Jacobsen 5 2 7 Df Amine Monteil 5 2 7
Mf Ashton Ali 13 0 13 Mf Leon Baumann 14 0 14
Mf Gerry Shilton 12 0 12 Mf Josè Guerrero 10 0 10
Mf Niklas König 5 2 7 Fw Greg Scott 10 0 10
Fw Giorgio Grasso 13 0 13 Fw Lorenzo Santana 10 0 10
Fw Angus Williamson 15 0 15 Fw Ashley Reynolds 9 0 9
Fw Mark Solomon 10 0 10 Fw Nils Pettersson 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
13 10 31 32 38 ROSTER TOTALS 13 0 41 24 36
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 10 31 32 38 T O T A L S 13 0 41 24 36
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 4.2 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 56.09 (no red card)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.08 (no red card)
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.33 (no red card)
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.74 (no red card)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.74 (no red card)
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.94 (no red card)
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.18 (no red card)
Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.96 (no red card)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.35 (no red card)
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.11 (no red card)
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.71 (no red card)
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.66 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.36 (no red card)
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.29 (no red card)
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.15 (no red card)
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.01 (no red card)
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.88 (no red card)
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.82 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.77 (no second yellow)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.09 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.77 (no red card)
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.45 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 53.41 (no injury)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.94 (no injury)
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury)
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.2 (no injury)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.33 (no injury)
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.34 (no injury)
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.63 (no injury)
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.56 (no injury)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.67 (no injury)
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.04 (no injury)
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.8 (no injury)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 38.85 (no injury)
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.12 (no injury)
Df Ian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.3 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.74 (no injury)
Df Amine Monteil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.85 (no injury)
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.62 (no injury)
Mf Josè Guerrero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.02 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.03 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.57 (no injury)
Fw Ashley Reynolds: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.22 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.14 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Angus Williamson SL 15
- Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 13
intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jake McDonald SL 14
- Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 14 10 31 32 38
Welling United FC 13 0 41 24 36
Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 41)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 8 ((32 - 24) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 36) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 51.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Gerry Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Niklas König
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 64.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Gerry Shilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 13 0 41 24 36
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 14 10 31 32 38
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 5 (36 - 31); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 32) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((41 - 38) / 5); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Df Amine Monteil
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Ashley Reynolds
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1 - WELLING UNITED FC 2
Match Notes
Real tough start here.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/13 - 8:45 PM
RUS haven't lost any of the last 3 matches
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/14 - 4:48 PM
The last 3 matches were all draws, Eduard
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/17 - 10:53 PM
WEL haven't lost any of the last 7
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/17 - 10:53 PM
Love the stat analysis gurus and their back and forth in this one...who can set the bar lower? 😎
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/18 - 12:28 AM
I want a refund.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 05/19 - 12:12 AM
Lucky win vs a superior RUS squad
Eduard (Welling United FC) 05/19 - 11:10 AM