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Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:56:19 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk George Lindsay          5    0    5     Gk Connor Bateman          5    2    7
Sw Alfredo  Herrera        6    0    6     Sw Inge Møller            13    0   13
Df Niall Dunn              7    0    7     Df Stephen Ard            10    0   10
Df Andy Simpson            7    0    7     Df David Verger            5    2    7
Df Craig Lynch             2    2    4     Df Marcus Hagen            2    2    4
Mf Jack Barry              8    0    8     Mf Christopher Burroughs  10    0   10
Mf Andrea Marino           4    0    4     Mf Jake Bell               5    2    7
Mf Kong Wú                 2    2    4     Fw Marcelo Villalba       10    0   10
Fw Joel Sansom             8    0    8     Fw Manuel  Jiménez        10    0   10
Fw Alexander Murphy        7    0    7     Fw Antonio Leon           10    0   10
Fw Liam McColl             3    2    5     Fw Adem Jones              2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       5  6 18 16 20        ROSTER TOTALS       7 13 21 17 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       5  6 20 18 22         T O T A L S        7 13 21 17 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.7 (no red card)

Sw Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.05 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.41 (no red card)

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.98 (no red card)

Df Craig Lynch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.58 (no red card)

Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.66 (no second yellow)

Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.96 (no red card)

Mf Kong Wú: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.99 (no red card)

Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.01 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no red card)

Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.27 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Connor Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.07 (no red card)

Sw Inge Møller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.02 (no red card)

Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.86 (no second yellow)

Df David Verger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.33 (no red card)

Df Marcus Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.77 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.89 (no red card)

Mf Jake Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.06 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.56 (no red card)

Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.94 (no red card)

Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.55 (no red card)

Fw Adem Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.15 (no injury) 
Sw Alfredo  Herrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.26 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.43 (no injury) 
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.7 (no injury) 
Df Craig Lynch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.66 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.9 (no injury) 
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.92 (no injury) 
Mf Kong Wú: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.42 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.92 (no injury) 
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.81 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Connor Bateman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.51 (no injury) 
Sw Inge Møller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.5 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury) 
Df David Verger: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.25 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Hagen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.05 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.14 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Christopher Burroughs is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Jake Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.19 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no injury) 
Fw Antonio Leon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.99 (no injury) 
Fw Adem Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Barry SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Connor Bateman SL 5

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stephen Ard SL 10
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 5

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                5   6  20  18  22
  Kingstonian FC           7  13  21  17  34

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 1 (22 - 21); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((18 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Jack Barry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           7  13  21  17  34
  Marine FC                5   6  20  18  22

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 14 (34 - 20); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 18) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 94.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 63.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 35.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Adem Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 4.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Adem Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Antonio Leon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 0  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 2
 
Match Notes
On paper, we should win this match. But the games aren't played on paper. They're played on computers.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 01/10 - 5:08 PM
 
 
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