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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
AP Cup Group (1)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Lewis          6    0    6     Gk Dylan Foster           11    0   11
Sw Paul MacKenzie          9    0    9     Sw Jason Meyer            13    0   13
Df William Cockham        14    0   14     Df Robin Ostrander        15    0   15
Df Andrea De Luca         10    0   10     Df Sebastian Shrimpton    10    0   10
Df Eoin O'Neal             8    0    8     Df Harvey Marshall         7    0    7
Mf Callum Davies           7    0    7     Mf Jonathan Heddle        10    0   10
Mf Algenon White           7    0    7     Mf Victor Shepard          5    2    7
Mf Thomas Constant         4    2    6     Fw Nils Schneider         13    0   13
Fw Rob Ramsey              8    0    8     Fw William Johnson        13    0   13
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz       8    0    8     Fw Jamie Carroll          10    0   10
Fw Eirik Iversen           2    2    4     Fw Facundo Bruno          10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6  9 32 20 20        ROSTER TOTALS      11 13 32 17 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       6  9 32 20 20         T O T A L S       11 13 32 17 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.81 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.9 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.5 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.58 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.38 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.87 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.26 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.94 (no red card)

Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.02 (no red card)

Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.71 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.76 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.99 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.29 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.8 (no red card)

Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.43 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.55 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.51 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.22 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.67 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.29 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.16 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.69 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.74 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.59 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.16 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.94 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.27 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.7 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.85 (no injury) 
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.99 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.11 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.41 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Jonathan Heddle is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jonathan Heddle new match skill level =  5
      Jonathan Heddle new match total level =  5
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.61 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.9 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.94 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.04 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11

     intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 6

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              6   9  32  20  20
  Luton Town FC            11  13  32  12  46

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 32)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((20 - 12) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Algenon White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Callum Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            11  13  32  12  46
  Mossley AFC              6   9  32  20  20

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 14 (46 - 32); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((12 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Harvey Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 30.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Harvey Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 30.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 24.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 34.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 58.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 81.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 80.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 97.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 0  -  LUTON TOWN FC 4
 
Match Notes
Luton could be a tough match for us
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/03 - 10:36 AM
Best of luck Mike!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/03 - 10:40 AM
Have had pretty good luck historically vs MOS, we shall see here.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 6:18 PM
Good luck to you also (fellow) Mike!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 6:18 PM
Happy with the win...but top DF goes into next week at -5 due to injury, ouch.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:44 PM
Injury was actually to our top MF...where we are even worse off, doh.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:58 PM
This was not unexpected
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/09 - 5:14 PM
 
 
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