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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          11    2   13     Gk Benjamin Lewis          7    0    7
Sw Rhys Porter            14    0   14     Sw Jake James              5    2    7
Df Ryan Lasserre          13    0   13     Df Hans Hahn              10    0   10
Df Rayan Blanc            12    0   12     Df Eoin O'Neal             8    0    8
Df Jeff Hughes            10    0   10     Df Louie Bentinck          7    1    8
Mf James Gallaher         13    0   13     Mf Callum Davies           7    0    7
Mf Edward Newman          12    0   12     Mf Algenon White           7    0    7
Mf Martín Paz              9    1   10     Mf Coll Wilson             7    0    7
Fw Ellis Boddington       13    0   13     Mf George Thomas           2    2    4
Fw Tom Duckworth          16    0   16     Fw Harry Clapinson         7    1    8
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho       10    0   10     Fw Eirik Iversen           2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 14 35 35 39        ROSTER TOTALS       7  7 26 25 12    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 14 44 35 39         T O T A L S        7  7 26 25 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.66 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.58 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.35 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.99 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.6 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.54 (no red card)

Mf Edward Newman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.7 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.7 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.39 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.13 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.08 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.65 (no red card)

Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.7 (no red card)

Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.94 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.92 (no red card)

Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.86 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.21 (no red card)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.65 (no red card)

Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.83 (no red card)

Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.36 (no red card)

Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.54 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.82 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.59 (no injury) 
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.79 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.57 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.39 (no injury) 
Mf Edward Newman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.08 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.34 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.21 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.59 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.78 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.73 (no injury) 
Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.66 (no injury) 
Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.32 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.81 (no injury) 
Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.27 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.17 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.06 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.09 (no injury) 
Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.74 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.27 (no injury) 
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tom Duckworth SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 7

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hans Hahn SL 10
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 11

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                13  14  44  35  39
  Mossley AFC              7   7  26  25  12

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 13 (39 - 26); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 5 ((35 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 11 ((44 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 1.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 39.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 67.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 45.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 60.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 78.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 44.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 40.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 25.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 38.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 74.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              7   7  26  25  12
  AFC Fylde                13  14  44  35  39

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 44)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 4  -  MOSSLEY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Good luck Phil (though you won't need it)
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/09 - 5:16 PM
That's about the result I expected.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/15 - 5:30 PM
 
 
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