(N)
Boston United
Rob Peterson
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BOSTON UNITED FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reece Wilkinson 14 1 15 Gk Namir Cohen 8 0 8
Sw Jannick Neumann 6 2 8 Df Zadok Chazan 5 2 7
Df Quentin Lesage 13 0 13 Df Kyle Harris 5 2 7
Df Taylor Alexander 10 1 11 Df Delling Andersen 3 0 3
Df Martin Durham 6 2 8 Df Mateo Hernández 2 0 2
Mf David King 10 1 11 Mf Taylor Gerrard 7 0 7
Mf Javier Diaz 5 2 7 Mf Alfredo Vargas 6 1 7
Fw Giorgio Sanna 13 0 13 Mf Luke Terry 5 2 7
Fw Kenny Stretch 11 1 12 Mf Nick Weiss 5 2 7
Fw Jacob Coppell 14 0 14 Fw Andrew Williamson 6 0 6
Fw Diego Cabrera 6 1 7 Fw Nigel Bradley 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 8 32 18 46 ROSTER TOTALS 8 0 19 28 11
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 8 32 18 46 T O T A L S 8 0 19 28 11
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.19 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.11 (no red card)
Sw Jannick Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.92 (no red card)
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.82 (no red card)
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.92 (no red card)
Df Martin Durham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.64 (no red card)
Mf David King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.0 (no red card)
Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.94 (no red card)
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.39 (no red card)
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.63 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.04 (no red card)
Fw Diego Cabrera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.75 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.81 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.12 (no red card)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.74 (no red card)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.74 (no red card)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.02 (no red card)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.84 (no red card)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.65 (no red card)
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.16 (no red card)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.43 (no red card)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.93 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.02 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.62 (no second yellow)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Boston United Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.04 (no injury)
Sw Jannick Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.08 (no injury)
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.23 (no injury)
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury)
Df Martin Durham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.74 (no injury)
Mf David King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.43 (no injury)
Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.92 (no injury)
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.89 (no injury)
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.46 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.63 (no injury)
Fw Diego Cabrera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.73 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Boston United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.39 (no injury)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.81 (no injury)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.4 (no injury)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.81 (no injury)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.51 (no injury)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.7 (no injury)
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.74 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.78 (no injury)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.02 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.26 (no injury)
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.42 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jacob Coppell SL 14
- Defending Gk: Namir Cohen SL 8
intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
******* BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Taylor Gerrard SL 7
- Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 14
intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Boston United 15 8 32 18 46
Forest Green Rovers FC 8 0 19 28 11
Boston United Fw Attacks = 27 (46 - 19); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 7 ((32 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Boston United Total Attacks = 34
1: Attack for Df Quentin Lesage
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 91.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Quentin Lesage
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 47.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Quentin Lesage
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 16.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Quentin Lesage
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 24.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Martin Durham
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 44.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Quentin Lesage
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Taylor Alexander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Diego Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 27.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 91.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Diego Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 8.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Diego Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 7.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Diego Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 84.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 74.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 18.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Diego Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 9.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 34.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 3.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Diego Cabrera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 12.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 41.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 12.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 68.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
32: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 87.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
33: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 77.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 8 0 19 28 11
Boston United 15 8 32 18 46
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 32)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((28 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 46) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Mf Alfredo Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Luke Terry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 5.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Taylor Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Taylor Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Alfredo Vargas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BOSTON UNITED 7 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
Match Notes
Both teams can still advance, but FGR will have to have a huge win. Boston need to either better Kendal's result or score five more goals than Kendal if they both win.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 01/11 - 9:36 PM
I appreciate John with the permutations. Makes it so I don't have to go through the math.
Rob (Boston United) 01/17 - 3:12 AM
eventful
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/21 - 9:39 PM
a match to forget!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/21 - 9:39 PM
John told me I needed to score 5 more goals than Kendal... Hopefully this was enough. Time to go check the other result!
Rob (Boston United) 01/24 - 3:01 AM