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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
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Andy Shaw
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BOSTON UNITED                              TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Morgan James           13    0   13     Gk Diego Forlán           12    0   12
Sw Noah Smalls            10    0   10     Sw Lukas Christiaens      12    0   12
Df Julian Koch            13    0   13     Df Algenon Webster        13    0   13
Df Kåre  Sivertsen        11    0   11     Df Agostino Beretta       16    0   16
Df Florian König           5    2    7     Df Sean Callahan           5    2    7
Mf Claudio Ferrari        13    0   13     Df Luke Crowley            5    2    7
Mf Baron Palmer            5    2    7     Mf Mateo Philippe         13    0   13
Fw Carrington Wilkins     13    0   13     Mf Malte Axelsson         10    0   10
Fw Billy Moore            16    0   16     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          5    2    7
Fw Sebastian Colombo      10    0   10     Fw Joe Evans              11    0   11
Fw Jacob Coppell           5    2    7     Fw Liam Thwaite           10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 31 20 46        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 43 30 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 31 20 46         T O T A L S       15 12 43 30 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no red card)

Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.74 (no red card)

Df Julian Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.21 (no red card)

Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.53 (no red card)

Df Florian König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.32 (no red card)

Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.84 (no red card)

Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.1 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.42 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.18 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.75 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.25 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 72.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 81.74 (no red card)

Sw Lukas Christiaens: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 16.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 2.22 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.86 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Algenon Webster new match skill level =  7
      Algenon Webster new match total level =  7

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 65.72 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 50.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.91 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.66 (no second yellow)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 67.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.1 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 87.14 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.29 (no second yellow)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 85.6 (no injury) 
Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.49 (no injury) 
Df Julian Koch: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 59.66 (no injury) 
Df Kåre  Sivertsen: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.27 (no injury) 
Df Florian König: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.98 (no injury) 
Mf Claudio Ferrari: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 77.16 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 85.83 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.97 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 61.17 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 83.27 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.59 (no injury) 
Sw Lukas Christiaens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.24 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Algenon Webster is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.95 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.9 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.28 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.16 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.56 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.3 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.23 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Billy Moore SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 13

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            13  10  31  20  46
  Tonbridge Angels         15  12  37  30  21

Boston United Fw Attacks = 9 (46 - 37); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Boston United Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Kåre  Sivertsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kåre  Sivertsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Florian König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Florian König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Colombo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Carrington Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Billy Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         15  12  37  30  21
  Boston United            13  10  31  20  46

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 31)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BOSTON UNITED 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
 
Match Notes
Two evenly balanced teams. Good luck Rob.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/14 - 5:18 PM
I looked at Tonbridge's roster and I didn't feel "equal" - this looks like an uphill battle.

Good luck Andy.
Rob (Boston United) 05/18 - 3:02 PM
This was the toughest match of the season. And a 0-0 draw seems like the appropriate result here. Well played Andy.
Rob (Boston United) 05/19 - 1:16 AM
I’m very happy with the point Rob. Good luck for the season.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/20 - 12:34 PM
 
 
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