(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Benjamin Guery 15 0 15 Gk Alistair McDermott 2 2 4
Sw çngel Gabriel López 9 1 10 Df Freddy Arboleda 15 2 17
Df Chris Howard 15 0 15 Df Vegar Aas 15 2 17
Df Murray Taylor 14 0 14 Sw Henry Martin 12 2 14
Df Jeff Charlton 12 2 14 Df James Hays 9 2 11
Df Francis Martin 9 1 10 Mf Gregor Millar 15 1 16
Mf Liam Dixon 14 0 14 Mf Benjamin Healy 13 2 15
Mf Federico Gentile 12 2 14 Fw Justin Neumann 15 -2 13
Mf Gast?n Franco 11 1 12 Fw Ian Hunter 14 1 15
Fw Sveinur Hansen 15 2 17 Fw Gordon Burroughs 15 2 17
Fw Rhys McColl 16 0 16 Fw John MacDonald 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 10 53 40 33 ROSTER TOTALS 4 14 45 31 56
0 1 0 2 2 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 3 2 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 11 56 44 37 T O T A L S 4 14 45 31 56
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 5
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.5 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.4 (no red card)
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 93.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 93.9 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 95.02 (no red card)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 54.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 47.73 (no red card)
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 75.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 51.61 (no red card)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 28.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 60.78 (no red card)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 47.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 33.54 (no red card)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 70.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 75.33 (no red card)
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 44.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 20.74 (no red card)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 92.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 39.78 (no red card)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 21.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 42.03 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Alistair McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.63 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.25 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.85 (no red card)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.19 (no red card)
Sw Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.36 (no red card)
Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.11 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.46 (no red card)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.02 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.41 (no red card)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.36 (no red card)
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.7 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.63 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 11.37 (no injury)
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 22.75 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.54 (no injury)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 98.06 (no injury)
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.89 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 36.13 (no injury)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.26 (no injury)
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.75 (no injury)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.63 (no injury)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 93.68 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Alistair McDermott: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 0.37 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Alistair McDermott is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Alistair McDermott new match skill level = 1
Alistair McDermott new match total level = 3
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 99.29 (no injury)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 82.39 (no injury)
Sw Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 58.24 (no injury)
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 11.76 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 84.22 (no injury)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 26.14 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 43.42 (no injury)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 4.81 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Ian Hunter is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Ian Hunter new match skill level = 7
Ian Hunter new match total level = 8
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 77.51 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 77.83 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Rhys McColl SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alistair McDermott SL 1
intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Freddy Arboleda SL 15
- Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 97 (pk blocked)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 15 11 56 44 37
Harrogate Railway AFC 3 14 45 31 49
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 45)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((44 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((56 - 49) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Murray Taylor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 34.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Murray Taylor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Chris Howard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 59.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 92.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 82.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 48.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 3 14 45 31 49
Carlton Town FC 15 11 56 44 37
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (49 - 56)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 44) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((45 - 37) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df James Hays
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 4 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
Match Notes
With Harrogate only having an SL 2/FIT 2 GK at best Carlton have a chance here.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/07 - 7:43 PM
I think the question is how much did Steve Turner pay Olmec. No way Harrogate are winning this match, and no way they're winning Div 3. All "very unfortunate"...
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 03/14 - 6:47 PM
Unable to get anything going today against the tough Carlton Town.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/14 - 7:31 PM
Pretty much everything that could have gone wrong did. Unlucky last two weeks, Al.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/14 - 7:52 PM
Very disappointed in the Beavers output today...
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/15 - 4:50 AM
A happy surprise on this one. . Great match, Al.
Mike (Carlton Town FC) 03/17 - 8:33 PM