(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHASETOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 1 13 Gk Niklas Kaiser 15 0 15
Df Delling Andersen 10 0 10 Sw David Gardner 13 2 15
Df Mathias Garreau 8 2 10 Df Jake Whyte 15 2 17
Df Felipe Cardoso 8 0 8 Df Carlos Rodriguez 15 0 15
Mf William Pedersen 13 0 13 Df Arno Christiaens 12 2 14
Mf Conor Farrell 10 -1 9 Mf Finley Harris 15 2 17
Mf Samuel Tissier 10 0 10 Mf Leor Chadad 14 0 14
Fw Tom Stevenson 17 2 19 Mf Diego Ribeiro 12 2 14
Fw Andrew Williamson 13 2 15 Mf Gerry Ruddle 13 2 15
Fw Peter East 12 1 13 Fw Albert Ramos 9 2 11
Fw Alf Abrahamsen 10 0 10 Fw Arthur Lampton 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 0 28 32 57 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 46 60 18
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 6 0 2
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 0 28 32 75 T O T A L S 15 15 52 60 20
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.84 (no red card)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.9 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.66 (no red card)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.25 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.02 (no red card)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.23 (no red card)
Mf Samuel Tissier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.47 (no red card)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.83 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.34 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.49 (no red card)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.36 (no red card)
******* CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.03 (no red card)
Sw David Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.24 (no red card)
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.02 (no red card)
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.16 (no red card)
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.39 (no red card)
Mf Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.7 (no red card)
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.03 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.1 (no second yellow)
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.5 (no red card)
Mf Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.29 (no red card)
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.79 (no red card)
Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.59 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.99 (no injury)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.91 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.43 (no injury)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.32 (no injury)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.51 (no injury)
Mf Samuel Tissier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.75 (no injury)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.59 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.54 (no injury)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.03 (no injury)
******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Kaiser: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.28 (no injury)
Sw David Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.01 (no injury)
Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.36 (no injury)
Df Carlos Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.64 (no injury)
Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no injury)
Mf Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.96 (no injury)
Mf Leor Chadad: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.8 (no injury)
Mf Diego Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.79 (no injury)
Mf Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.35 (no injury)
Fw Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.62 (no injury)
Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.86 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tom Stevenson SL 17
- Defending Gk: Niklas Kaiser SL 15
intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jake Whyte SL 15
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12
intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 13 0 28 32 75
Chasetown FC 15 15 52 60 20
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 23 (75 - 52); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 60) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 20) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Df Mathias Garreau
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Felipe Cardoso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Chasetown FC 15 15 52 60 20
Forest Green Rovers FC 13 0 28 32 75
Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 28)
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((60 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 75) / 3; rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Finley Harris
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Leor Chadad
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Finley Harris
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Mf Diego Ribeiro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 2 - CHASETOWN FC 0
Match Notes
It was 11-0 last time out. Not being ambitious, will be happy to equal that...
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/06 - 8:33 AM
ha ha, nice comment. You've had a decent season, so this could be a bit closer of a game.
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/06 - 9:08 PM
A disappointing end to a successful season
Paul (Chasetown FC) 03/12 - 5:40 PM