(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC BRIDGWATER TOWN
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Namir Cohen 10 2 12 Gk Joe Richman 10 2 12
Df Zadok Chazan 8 2 10 Sw Lucas Moore 14 0 14
Df Ruud Voorhees 10 0 10 Df John Tufnel 15 1 16
Df Graham Ward 7 2 9 Df Josh Martin 13 -1 12
Df Paul Lange 7 2 9 Df Cesar Ruiz 9 2 11
Mf Martin Kristensen 14 2 16 Df Trevor Jordan 5 0 5
Mf Nick Weiss 8 2 10 Mf Melker Lundin 15 0 15
Mf Luke Terry 8 2 10 Mf Louie Richman 9 -2 7
Fw Moritz Hofmann 14 2 16 Mf Jose Antonio Benitez 5 2 7
Fw Gabriel Whiteside 14 2 16 Fw George Taylor 10 2 12
Fw Peter East 11 2 13 Fw Cheng Liáng 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
12 0 38 36 45 ROSTER TOTALS 12 14 44 29 19
0 0 0 0 5 HARDNESS 0 0 2 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 8 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 3 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 0 38 36 65 T O T A L S 12 14 49 29 19
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 5
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.1 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.62 (no red card)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 52.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 9.26 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 99.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 73.3 (no red card)
Df Graham Ward: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 45.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 13.82 (no red card)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 3.74 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 60.54 (no second yellow)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 73.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 78.55 (no red card)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 38.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 27.76 (no red card)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 49.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 87.51 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 35.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 95.9 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 44.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 91.6 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 38.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 91.86 (no red card)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joe Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.66 (no red card)
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.13 (no red card)
Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.92 (no red card)
Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.08 (no red card)
Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.56 (no red card)
Df Trevor Jordan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.6 (no red card)
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.97 (no red card)
Mf Louie Richman: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.62 (no red card)
Mf Jose Antonio Benitez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.76 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.0 (no second yellow)
Fw George Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.1 (no red card)
Fw Cheng Liáng: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.79 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 5
- Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.62%
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 97.5 (no injury)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 7.42 (no injury)
Df Graham Ward: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 4.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Graham Ward loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Graham Ward new match skill level = 4
Graham Ward new match total level = 6
Df Paul Lange: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 68.96 (no injury)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 6.95 (no injury)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 71.9 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 8.11 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 17.11 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 34.21 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 5
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 3.37%
Gk Joe Richman: Chance of injury = 3.37% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury)
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 28.82 (no injury)
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 39.25 (no injury)
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 87.97 (no injury)
Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 10.11 (no injury)
Df Trevor Jordan: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 28.34 (no injury)
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 26.94 (no injury)
Mf Louie Richman: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 98.5 (no injury)
Mf Jose Antonio Benitez: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 35.46 (no injury)
Fw George Taylor: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 10.56 (no injury)
Fw Cheng Liáng: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 23.24 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Martin Kristensen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Joe Richman SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: John Tufnel SL 15
- Defending Gk: Namir Cohen SL 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 64 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 35 36 65
Bridgwater Town 12 14 49 29 19
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 16 (65 - 49); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((36 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 19) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Paul Lange
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Zadok Chazan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Ruud Voorhees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 67.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Paul Lange
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Luke Terry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bridgwater Town 12 14 49 29 19
Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 35 36 65
Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 35)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 2 - BRIDGWATER TOWN 1
Match Notes
Home match, so we need give it a go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 8:30 PM