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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lewis Gray             10    2   12     Gk Juan Palomo Cohen       3    2    5
Sw Julian Moreno          15    2   17     Sw Frank Hart              9    2   11
Df Max Hermansson         14    1   15     Df Neil Smith              5    2    7
Df Ben Collins            10    2   12     Df Alex Normand            4    2    6
Mf Zak Andrews            16    2   18     Df Tomas Kennedy           4    2    6
Mf Eduardo Santos          9    1   10     Mf George Thomas           8    2   10
Mf Dylan Grant             9    2   11     Mf Leo Lee                 7    2    9
Mf Oliver Brown            4    2    6     Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu            7    2    9
Fw Niklas Möller           9    2   11     Mf Robert Stone            3    2    5
Fw Billy Porter            9    2   11     Fw Harrison Arnott         4    2    6
Fw Niall Johnston          4    2    6     Fw Ollie James             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 17 27 45 28        ROSTER TOTALS       5 11 19 33 12    
       0  0  0  5  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 17 27 50 40         T O T A L S        5 11 19 33 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.47 (no red card)

Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 84.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 67.62 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 81.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 54.46 (no red card)

Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 39.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 73.25 (no red card)

Mf Zak Andrews: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 48.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 69.86 (no red card)

Mf Eduardo Santos: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 24.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 92.89 (no red card)

Mf Dylan Grant: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 43.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 20.36 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Brown: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 39.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 53.07 (no red card)

Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 27.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 73.14 (no red card)

Fw Billy Porter: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 68.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 22.38 (no red card)

Fw Niall Johnston: Chance of booking = 12.0% | Random number = 72.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.0% | Random number = 89.94 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Juan Palomo Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.4 (no red card)

Sw Frank Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.55 (no red card)

Df Neil Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no red card)

Df Alex Normand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.85 (no red card)

Df Tomas Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.84 (no red card)

Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.77 (no red card)

Mf Leo Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.63 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.73 (no second yellow)

Mf Robert Stone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.89 (no red card)

Fw Harrison Arnott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.5 (no second yellow)

Fw Ollie James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Lewis Gray: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 96.55 (no injury) 
Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 23.92 (no injury) 
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 17.94 (no injury) 
Mf Zak Andrews: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 66.4 (no injury) 
Mf Eduardo Santos: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.89 (no injury) 
Mf Dylan Grant: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.94 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Brown: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 48.1 (no injury) 
Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 17.77 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Porter: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 32.66 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Johnston: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 96.05 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Juan Palomo Cohen: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 18.65 (no injury) 
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 60.69 (no injury) 
Df Neil Smith: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 8.56 (no injury) 
Df Alex Normand: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 21.66 (no injury) 
Df Tomas Kennedy: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 83.1 (no injury) 
Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 6.43 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Lee: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 48.79 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 20.81 (no injury) 
Mf Robert Stone: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 97.79 (no injury) 
Fw Harrison Arnott: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 59.48 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie James: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 68.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zak Andrews SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Juan Palomo Cohen SL 3

     intRndPk = 88
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: George Thomas SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Gray SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          12  17  27  50  40
  Mossley AFC              5  11  19  33  12

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 21 (40 - 19); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((50 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((27 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 59.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 21.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Max Hermansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 10.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 52.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Dylan Grant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 43.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Oliver Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 74.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Eduardo Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 45.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Dylan Grant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Eduardo Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Eduardo Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 41.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 8.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 47.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Niall Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Niall Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 19.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Niall Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 7.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              5  11  19  33  12
  Bedford Town FC          12  17  27  50  40

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 27)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 3  -  MOSSLEY AFC 0
 

Match Notes

Bedford's walls against Mossley's storm — this Division 3 clash could be a brutal, grinding affair. Both sides will be desperate for points. No prisoners today.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 10 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)  
We just don’t worry about Mossley 😀
~ Simon ~ Jul 11 (Bedford Town FC)  
Olmec is optimistic for me 😂
~ Simon ~ Jul 11 (Bedford Town FC)  
Fortress again 🫣
~ Simon ~ Jul 11 (Bedford Town FC)  
Well that was easy
~ Simon ~ Jul 14 (Bedford Town FC)  
They just caved
~ Simon ~ Jul 14 (Bedford Town FC)  
 
 
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