(H)

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral

Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LUTON TOWN FC CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dylan Foster 11 2 13 Gk Owen Rooney 13 1 14 Sw Jamie Johnson 14 2 16 Sw Reece Hamilton 7 2 9 Df Robin Ostrander 18 -2 16 Df Nathan Doyle 12 1 13 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 13 1 14 Df Luke Sinclair 9 2 11 Mf Jonathan Heddle 14 -2 12 Df Michael Schmidt 4 2 6 Mf Ivan Blanco 9 2 11 Mf Marty Nicholls 9 -1 8 Mf Cameron Hill 8 2 10 Mf Evan Jones 8 2 10 Mf William Johnson 13 1 14 Fw Francesco Rinaldi 13 0 13 Fw Jamie Carroll 14 1 15 Fw Vladimir Popov 8 2 10 Fw Nils Schneider 14 0 14 Fw Calum Kelly 7 2 9 Fw Kerecsen Deák 11 1 12 Fw Dave Byrne 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 16 30 47 41 ROSTER TOTALS 14 9 30 18 41 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 0 4 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 3 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 19 30 51 50 T O T A L S 17 12 30 18 45 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.52 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.88 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.41 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.77 (no red card) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.98 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.39 (no second yellow) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.71 (no red card) Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.04 (no red card) Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.19 (no red card) Mf William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.96 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.27 (no red card) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.03 (no red card) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.18 (no red card) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.42 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.58 (no red card) Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.98 (no red card) Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.7 (no red card) Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.07 (no red card) Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.86 (no red card) Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.4 (no red card) Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.72 (no red card) Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card) Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.55 (no red card) Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.8 (no red card) Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.48 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.04 (no injury) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.84 (no injury) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.14 (no injury) Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.73 (no injury) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury) Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.86 (no injury) Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.76 (no injury) Mf William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no injury) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.52 (no injury) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.34 (no injury) Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.54 (no injury) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.88 (no injury) Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.15 (no injury) Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.03 (no injury) Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.43 (no injury) Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.65 (no injury) Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.94 (no injury) Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.17 (no injury) Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no injury) Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.42 (no injury) Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.92 (no injury) Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.47 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 18 - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 13 intRndPk = 29 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Francesco Rinaldi SL 13 - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11 intRndPk = 87 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 16 19 30 51 50 Chippenham Town FC 17 12 30 18 45 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 20 (50 - 30); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((51 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 45) / 3; rounded up) Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 37 1: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Ivan Blanco Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Ivan Blanco Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Mf Ivan Blanco Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Mf William Johnson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 32: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 34: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 35: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 37: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) ******* CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chippenham Town FC 17 12 30 18 45 Luton Town FC 16 19 30 51 50 Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (45 - 30); result rounded up Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 51) / 2; rounded up) Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 50) / 3; rounded up) Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Fw Calum Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Calum Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Dave Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 49.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Calum Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Dave Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Dave Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LUTON TOWN FC 2 - CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 1
Match Notes

Good match, Matt, looking forward to seeing CHP on the rise next season!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/08 - 8:15 PM