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Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

EVESHAM UNITED FC                          WORKSOP TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Geoffrey Bateman       13    0   13     Gk Gerald Dohm             4    2    6
Sw Ollie Russell          16    0   16     Df Don Edwards            13    2   15
Df Francisco Duarte       16    0   16     Df Liam Åkesson           15    1   16
Df Lorenzo Ibañez         14    1   15     Df Harley Watson           9    2   11
Df Reuven  Edelman        13    2   15     Df Don Griffiths           9    0    9
Df Paul Werner            10    2   12     Mf Kieran Lawrence        14    2   16
Mf Glenn Stevens          10    2   12     Mf Callum McGuire         13    2   15
Mf Tyrone Porter           9    2   11     Mf Max Webb               12    2   14
Fw Albert Francis         16    0   16     Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev        5    2    7
Fw Thomas Clarke          14    1   15     Fw Lewis Hill             12    2   14
Fw Gregg Foster            9    2   11     Fw Peder Laursen           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 16 58 23 42        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 51 52 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 16 58 23 52         T O T A L S        6  0 51 52 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.18 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.01 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.27 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card)

Df Reuven  Edelman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.51 (no red card)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.73 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.04 (no red card)

Mf Tyrone Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.67 (no red card)

Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.79 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.02 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.84 (no red card)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerald Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.57 (no red card)

Df Don Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.45 (no red card)

Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.39 (no red card)

Df Harley Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.63 (no red card)

Df Don Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.49 (no red card)

Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.19 (no red card)

Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.03 (no red card)

Mf Max Webb: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.71 (no red card)

Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.0 (no red card)

Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.97 (no red card)

Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Geoffrey Bateman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.97 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.99 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.34 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no injury) 
Df Reuven  Edelman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.21 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.95 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.0 (no injury) 
Mf Tyrone Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.74 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.62 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.22 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.41 (no injury) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerald Dohm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.15 (no injury) 
Df Don Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.52 (no injury) 
Df Liam Åkesson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.59 (no injury) 
Df Harley Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no injury) 
Df Don Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.15 (no injury) 
Mf Kieran Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.62 (no injury) 
Mf Callum McGuire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.08 (no injury) 
Mf Max Webb: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.61 (no injury) 
Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no injury) 
Fw Lewis Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.22 (no injury) 
Fw Peder Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francisco Duarte SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gerald Dohm SL 4

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Åkesson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Geoffrey Bateman SL 13

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        13  16  58  23  52
  Worksop Town FC          6   0  51  52  23

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 1 (52 - 51); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 52) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 12 ((58 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 98.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 99.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Reuven  Edelman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Francisco Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 61.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 79.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Reuven  Edelman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Reuven  Edelman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 54.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Paul Werner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 54 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Paul Werner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 89.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 65.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Worksop Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 53.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          6   0  51  52  23
  Evesham United FC        13  16  58  23  52

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 58)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((52 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Yevgeniy Zaytsev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Callum McGuire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Max Webb
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 55.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Kieran Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
EVESHAM UNITED FC 7  -  WORKSOP TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
My last chance to get myself to the promise land
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/17 - 6:44 AM
I am hoping to get promoted for the first time in my MSWL life
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/17 - 6:45 AM
Fingers crossed......
David (Worksop Town FC) 07/18 - 5:53 PM
Congrats on promotion, Aires
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/21 - 9:20 AM
Solid team development at EVE recently
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/21 - 9:21 AM
Needed a big win and the boys showed up
Aires (Evesham United FC) 08/01 - 5:36 AM
Thanks Eduard been working hard at it with Assistance from the great Beerman
Aires (Evesham United FC) 08/01 - 5:36 AM
 
 
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