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Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HALIFAX TOWN AFC                           BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Flynn            17    2   19     Gk Owen Brudenell         13    1   14
Sw Bobby Baker            15    2   17     Sw Luiz Dias              13    1   14
Df Mark Shaw              14    2   16     Df Jamie Whiteside        16    2   18
Df Tom Duffy               9    2   11     Df Josh Martin             9    2   11
Df Coll Whyte              9    1   10     Df John Tufnel             5    2    7
Mf Gareth Gascoigne       15    2   17     Mf Patrick Gallaher        9    2   11
Mf Darragh Calhoun        12    2   14     Mf Jakob Schmitz           5    2    7
Fw Gabriel Lee            19    0   19     Mf Melker Lundin           5    2    7
Fw Enzo Dupont            14    2   16     Fw Jay Meldrum             9    2   11
Fw Joe Lennon             13    2   15     Fw Toby Hall               5    2    7
Fw Alexander Fraser       11    2   13     Fw Taylor Shilton          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 17 37 31 63        ROSTER TOTALS      14 14 36 25 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  2  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  9  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 37 31 72         T O T A L S       14 14 47 25 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.14 (no red card)

Sw Bobby Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.29 (no red card)

Df Mark Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.17 (no red card)

Df Tom Duffy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.28 (no red card)

Df Coll Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.68 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.92 (no red card)

Mf Darragh Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.84 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.48 (no second yellow)

Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)

Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.14 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Fraser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.49 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.26 (no red card)

Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.31 (no red card)

Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.9 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.61 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.38 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 53.85 (no second yellow)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.49 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.86 (no red card)

Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.79 (no red card)

Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.39 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 21.86 (no injury) 
Sw Bobby Baker: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.62 (no injury) 
Df Mark Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.51 (no injury) 
Df Tom Duffy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.12 (no injury) 
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.5 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.38 (no injury) 
Mf Darragh Calhoun: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.26 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Lee: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.77 (no injury) 
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.37 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Lennon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.17 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Fraser: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.17 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 39.94 (no injury) 
Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.44 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.68 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.62 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.71 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.94 (no injury) 
Mf Jakob Schmitz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.0 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.0 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Lee SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Whiteside SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Flynn SL 17

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         19  17  37  31  72
  Bridgwater Town          14  14  47  25  25

Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 25 (72 - 47); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((37 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Coll Whyte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Mark Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Coll Whyte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Mark Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Darragh Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gareth Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Gareth Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Joe Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Enzo Dupont
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Gabriel Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Alexander Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          14  14  47  25  25
  Halifax Town AFC         19  17  37  31  72

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 37)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 72) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HALIFAX TOWN AFC 1  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 0
 
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