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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            16    1   17     Gk José Fita              12    2   14
Df Thomas McIntyre        15    2   17     Sw Trevor Wallace         14    2   16
Df Pablo Arboleda         13    2   15     Df Agostino Beretta       19    2   21
Df Mason Shaw             10    2   12     Df Earl Kelly             14    2   16
Mf Owen Roberts           14    2   16     Df Algenon Webster        13    2   15
Mf Mons Nygård            13    2   15     Df Mathias Sørensen        5    2    7
Mf William Carney         13    2   15     Mf Joe Barrett            15    2   17
Mf Liam Murphy            16    1   17     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          9    2   11
Mf Noah Young             11    2   13     Mf Fernando Rocha          5    2    7
Fw Agustin Martínez       15    2   17     Fw Liam Thwaite           15    2   17
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Fw Matais Juarez           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 44 76 32        ROSTER TOTALS      14 16 59 35 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 53 76 32         T O T A L S       17 17 59 35 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.69 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.29 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.37 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Owen Roberts new match skill level =  7
      Owen Roberts new match total level =  9

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.8 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.3 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.5 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.12 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 45.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 20.42 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.87 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 1.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Agostino Beretta new match skill level =  10
      Agostino Beretta new match total level =  12

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.47 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 40.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 45.39 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 15.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.0 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 95.61 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 80.64 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.3 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.0 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.75 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 70.36 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.8 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 97.34 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 93.31 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 13.06 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.82 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.96 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.55 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.11 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.91 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.4 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.87 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   20   0  53  69  32
  Tonbridge Angels         17  17  50  35  28

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 50)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((69 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 5 ((53 - 28) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Mason Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Mason Shaw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         17  17  50  35  28
  Swindon Supermarine FC   20   0  53  69  32

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 53)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 69) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 6 ((50 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 97.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 66.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
Swindon also looking to go up. This one will be tough. Good luck John.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/19 - 2:06 PM
A very good point for us, we got outplayed.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/25 - 10:33 PM
great season Andy
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/27 - 12:07 PM
 
 
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