(H)
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Denis Martin 15 2 17 Gk Kevin Hawkins 16 1 17
Sw Keith Davis 16 2 18 Sw Luís Morais 11 1 12
Df Diego Acosta 15 2 17 Df Axel Lacour 14 1 15
Df Finlay Butcher 14 2 16 Df Gareth Trickelbank 14 2 16
Df Joshua Simpson 5 2 7 Df Baron Jackson 9 2 11
Mf Cristobal Benitez 16 2 18 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 15 2 17
Mf Finn McMillan 10 2 12 Mf Gareth Scott 9 2 11
Mf Alex Turner 5 2 7 Fw Fernando Cano 15 1 16
Fw Noah Schäfer 16 2 18 Fw Sam East 14 1 15
Fw Baron Marshall 14 2 16 Fw William Hay 13 2 15
Fw Ze'ev Bar 5 2 7 Fw Benjamin Christensen 12 2 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 18 40 37 41 ROSTER TOTALS 17 12 42 28 60
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 3 1
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 18 40 37 50 T O T A L S 20 12 42 31 61
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.98 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.51 (no red card)
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.0 (no red card)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.26 (no red card)
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.6 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.77 (no red card)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.64 (no red card)
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.11 (no red card)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.32 (no red card)
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.71 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.79 (no red card)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.83 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.47 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.79 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.0 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.12 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Gabriel Welbeck new match skill level = 8
Gabriel Welbeck new match total level = 10
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.25 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.88 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.06 (no red card)
Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.3 (no red card)
Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.19 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Denis Martin is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.84 (no injury)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no injury)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no injury)
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.61 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no injury)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.01 (no injury)
Mf Alex Turner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.98 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.35 (no injury)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.42 (no injury)
Fw Ze'ev Bar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.13 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.03 (no injury)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.05 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Axel Lacour is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Axel Lacour new match skill level = 7
Axel Lacour new match total level = 8
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.12 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.5 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.41 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.62 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.88 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.68 (no injury)
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.37 (no injury)
Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.21 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cristobal Benitez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16
intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fernando Cano SL 15
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 15
intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 17 18 40 37 50
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 12 35 24 61
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 15 (50 - 35); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 7 ((37 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 61) / 3; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Alex Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 92.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 5.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Ze'ev Bar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Ze'ev Bar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 69.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 26.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Ze'ev Bar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 10.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 1.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Ze'ev Bar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 12 35 24 61
FC United of Manchester 17 18 40 37 50
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 21 (61 - 40); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 37) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 21
1: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.95 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 1 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2
Match Notes
We need two points to ensure we don't go down. A point probably enough. Can we get it against Kevin? Probably not
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/07 - 7:23 PM
As much as we like Haiku Holden in these parts, we’re chasing down the Pilgrims this final session. No room for error. Or mercy
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/09 - 8:07 PM
Ouch
Carl (Hyde FC) 03/15 - 10:16 AM
Sorry Kevin, snuck that with the red card
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/15 - 4:37 PM
Just. One. More. Goal. And the Div 2 title would have been ours, even with a loss. Denied by Hawkins.
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/16 - 1:29 PM
Nice win, John
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/16 - 1:29 PM
John made things really interesting by beating Boston in the first match. And then John decides the division with this amazing victory
Rob (Boston United) 03/21 - 3:27 AM
If it's any consolation, Kevin, you needed the tie or better.
Rob (Boston United) 03/21 - 3:28 AM