(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC TONBRIDGE ANGELS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Jay Hussain 16 1 17 Gk José Fita 12 2 14 Df Thomas McIntyre 15 2 17 Sw Trevor Wallace 14 2 16 Df Pablo Arboleda 13 2 15 Df Agostino Beretta 19 2 21 Df Mason Shaw 10 2 12 Df Earl Kelly 14 2 16 Mf Owen Roberts 14 2 16 Df Algenon Webster 13 2 15 Mf Mons Nygård 13 2 15 Df Mathias Sørensen 5 2 7 Mf William Carney 13 2 15 Mf Joe Barrett 15 2 17 Mf Liam Murphy 16 1 17 Mf Kunio Yamamoto 9 2 11 Mf Noah Young 11 2 13 Mf Fernando Rocha 5 2 7 Fw Agustin Martínez 15 2 17 Fw Liam Thwaite 15 2 17 Fw Sean Moore 13 2 15 Fw Matais Juarez 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 0 44 76 32 ROSTER TOTALS 14 16 59 35 28 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 0 53 76 32 T O T A L S 17 17 59 35 28 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.49 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.69 (no red card) Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.29 (no red card) Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card) Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no red card) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.37 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Owen Roberts new match skill level = 7 Owen Roberts new match total level = 9 Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.8 (no red card) Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card) Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.3 (no red card) Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.5 (no red card) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.12 (no red card) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.01 (no red card) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 4 - Gk Hardness = 3 Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 45.14 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 20.42 (no red card) Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.87 (no red card) Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 1.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Agostino Beretta new match skill level = 10 Agostino Beretta new match total level = 12 Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.47 (no red card) Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 40.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card) Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 45.39 (no red card) Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 15.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.16 (no red card) Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 63.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 73.0 (no red card) Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 95.61 (no red card) Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 70.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 80.64 (no red card) Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.3 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5% - Gk chance of injury = 2.75% Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.0 (no injury) Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.75 (no injury) Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 70.36 (no injury) Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 25.24 (no injury) Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury) Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.8 (no injury) Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 97.34 (no injury) Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 93.31 (no injury) Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury) Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 13.06 (no injury) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4 - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no injury) Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.82 (no injury) Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.96 (no injury) Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.7 (no injury) Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury) Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.55 (no injury) Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.11 (no injury) Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.91 (no injury) Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.4 (no injury) Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.87 (no injury) Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.12 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16 - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick) ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 15 - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16 intRndPk = 51 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swindon Supermarine FC 20 0 53 69 32 Tonbridge Angels 17 17 50 35 28 Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 50) Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((69 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 5 ((53 - 28) / 5); result rounded up Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 22 1: Attack for Df Mason Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Df Mason Shaw Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 10.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Mf Noah Young Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Mf William Carney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tonbridge Angels 17 17 50 35 28 Swindon Supermarine FC 20 0 53 69 32 Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap! Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 53) Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 69) / 2; rounded up) Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 6 ((50 - 32) / 3); result rounded up Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Df Algenon Webster Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 97.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Df Algenon Webster Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 66.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Algenon Webster Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 4.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Df Algenon Webster Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
Match Notes
Swindon also looking to go up. This one will be tough. Good luck John.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/19 - 2:06 PM
A very good point for us, we got outplayed.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/25 - 10:33 PM
great season Andy
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/27 - 12:07 PM