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Chasetown FC
Roger Mendonça
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHASETOWN FC                               CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Daniel Bell            16    2   18     Gk Benjamin Guery         13    2   15
Sw Luca Parisi             9    1   10     Sw Connor Pearson          6    2    8
Df Lewis Allan            15    2   17     Df Francis Martin         14    2   16
Df Tim Huber               9    2   11     Df Chris Howard           14    1   15
Mf Luciano Renteria       15    2   17     Df Murray Taylor          11    2   13
Mf Kenny Clarke            5    2    7     Df Jeff Charlton           9    2   11
Fw Morgan Lindsay         15    2   17     Df Carleton Griffiths      8    2   10
Fw Arthur Lampton         14    2   16     Mf Alexander Daly         14    2   16
Fw Jamie Newton           12    2   14     Mf Charlie Hayes          14    0   14
Fw Gerry Ruddle           13    2   15     Fw Trevor Hanny           14    2   16
Fw Liam Jankel             5    2    7     Fw Hayden Richardson       9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 10 28 24 69        ROSTER TOTALS      15  8 65 30 27    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  2  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 10 28 26 78         T O T A L S       15  8 72 30 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 61.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 12.68 (no red card)

Sw Luca Parisi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.52 (no red card)

Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.98 (no red card)

Df Tim Huber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.66 (no red card)

Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)

Mf Kenny Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.12 (no red card)

Fw Morgan Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.98 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.72 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Newton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.83 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.08 (no red card)

Fw Liam Jankel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.32 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.81 (no red card)

Sw Connor Pearson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.95 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 61.35 (no second yellow)

Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.47 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 97.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.89 (no red card)

Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 98.97 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.14 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 66.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.86 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 81.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.45 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Parisi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 77.62 (no injury) 
Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 85.58 (no injury) 
Df Tim Huber: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 67.1 (no injury) 
Mf Luciano Renteria: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.67 (no injury) 
Mf Kenny Clarke: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 64.01 (no injury) 
Fw Morgan Lindsay: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 60.69 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Lampton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.64 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Newton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.66 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 57.9 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Jankel: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 47.39 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 64.37 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Pearson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.38 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.09 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.02 (no injury) 
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.67 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.49 (no injury) 
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.22 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.74 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Alexander Daly is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Alexander Daly new match skill level =  7
      Alexander Daly new match total level =  9
Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.37 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.85 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Lewis Allan SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francis Martin SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Bell SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chasetown FC             21  10  28  26  78
  Carlton Town FC          15   8  72  23  30

Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 6 (78 - 72); result rounded up
Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((26 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Luciano Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Gerry Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Morgan Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jamie Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Arthur Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   8  72  23  30
  Chasetown FC             21  10  28  26  78

Carlton Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (30 - 28) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((72 - 78) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Hayden Richardson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHASETOWN FC 1  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 0
 

Match Notes

Mike needs this for promotion. Who am I to stand in his way?
~ Roger ~ Jul 5 (Chasetown FC)  
Obi-Wan Kenobi brings his dark arts to the Scholars Ground today — least wins in the league but somehow always surviving. Carlton Town arrive ready to test that dark side.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 6 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)  
I think I got away with one there. Unlucky Mike
~ Roger ~ Jul 11 (Chasetown FC)  
So close, but well played!
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Carlton Town FC)  
 
 
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