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Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

EVESHAM UNITED FC                          AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Adrian Flores           9    2   11     Gk Kevin Hawkins           9    2   11
Sw Ollie Russell          16    0   16     Sw Luís Morais            16    0   16
Df Lorenzo Ibañez         16    0   16     Df Markus Jacobsen        15    2   17
Df Francisco Duarte       13    0   13     Df Robert Howells         14    1   15
Df Tony Bateman            3    2    5     Df Lucas Soramaki         13    1   14
Mf Melker Månsson         17    0   17     Mf Niklas König           14    2   16
Mf Alvarez  Madrigal       9    2   11     Mf Gerry Shilton          10    2   12
Fw Thomas Clarke          16    0   16     Fw William Hay            15    2   17
Fw Gregg Foster           14    2   16     Fw Mark Solomon           14    0   14
Fw Albert Francis         16    0   16     Fw Sam East                9    2   11
Fw Afonso Alves            8    2   10     Fw Angus Williamson        8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 16 34 28 58        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 46 28 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  1  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 16 52 28 58         T O T A L S       14 17 46 28 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.8 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.73 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.08 (no second yellow)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.59 (no red card)

Df Tony Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.16 (no red card)

Mf Melker Månsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.32 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.52 (no second yellow)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.71 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.22 (no red card)

Fw Albert Francis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.61 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.37 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.02 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.27 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.27 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.42 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.21 (no red card)

Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.58 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.71 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.7 (no second yellow)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.82 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.98 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.31 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.55 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Lorenzo Ibañez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lorenzo Ibañez new match skill level =  8
      Lorenzo Ibañez new match total level =  8
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.58 (no injury) 
Df Tony Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Månsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.21 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.73 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.06 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.45 (no injury) 
Fw Albert Francis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.25 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.95 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 76.56 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.42 (no injury) 
Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.55 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.84 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.3 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.58 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Melker Månsson SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 9

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Markus Jacobsen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Adrian Flores SL 9

     intRndPk = 97
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        11  16  44  28  58
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14  17  46  28  54

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 12 (58 - 46); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Albert Francis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14  17  46  28  54
  Evesham United FC        11  16  44  28  58

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 10 (54 - 44); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 0.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 26.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
EVESHAM UNITED FC 2  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
Time for a not lost
Aires (Evesham United FC) 03/04 - 1:31 PM
A little bit unlucky here but without the Evesham injury it wouldn't have been unlucky
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/09 - 5:12 PM
At least it didn't cost us relegation
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/09 - 5:12 PM
Ended with a win!
Aires (Evesham United FC) 03/10 - 11:08 PM
 
 
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