(H)
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LUTON TOWN FC HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hayden Barnes 13 0 13 Gk Erik Holm 14 1 15
Sw Joel Strömberg 15 2 17 Sw Shane Sweeney 14 1 15
Df Philipp Koch 18 2 20 Df James Hays 13 2 15
Df Frank Goodwin 9 2 11 Df Fernando Silva 16 2 18
Mf Nathan Dean 15 2 17 Df Nathan Meldrum 9 2 11
Mf Harley Ritchie 9 2 11 Df Kund Gáspár 5 2 7
Mf Rhys Johnstone 9 2 11 Mf Cliff Gerrard 13 2 15
Fw Corey Williams 14 2 16 Mf Ross Browne 9 2 11
Fw Philipp Hoffmann 13 2 15 Fw John MacDonald 14 2 16
Fw Roberto Conti 9 2 11 Fw Leonardo Delgado 14 2 16
Fw Victor Jourdan 9 2 11 Fw Justin Neumann 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 17 31 39 53 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 51 26 47
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 4 5 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 17 31 43 58 T O T A L S 15 15 51 26 47
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.99 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.38 (no red card)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.11 (no red card)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.62 (no red card)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.24 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.84 (no red card)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.83 (no red card)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.83 (no red card)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.67 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.91 (no second yellow)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.57 (no red card)
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.4 (no red card)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.51 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.33 (no red card)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.93 (no red card)
Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no red card)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.07 (no red card)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.4 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.82 (no red card)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.57 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.43 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.14 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.92 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.21 (no injury)
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.97 (no injury)
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.41 (no injury)
Df Frank Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.71 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no injury)
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.97 (no injury)
Mf Rhys Johnstone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.85 (no injury)
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.15 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.03 (no injury)
Fw Roberto Conti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.8 (no injury)
Fw Victor Jourdan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 38.82 (no injury)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.07 (no injury)
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.64 (no injury)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.29 (no injury)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.98 (no injury)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.42 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.96 (no injury)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.24 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.39 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.37 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Philipp Koch SL 18
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14
intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 13
intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 13 17 31 43 58
Harrogate Railway AFC 15 15 51 26 47
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (58 - 51); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((43 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Rhys Johnstone
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Harley Ritchie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Roberto Conti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Roberto Conti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 15 15 51 26 47
Luton Town FC 13 17 31 43 58
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 16 (47 - 31); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 43) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 40.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LUTON TOWN FC 0 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
Match Notes
Luton are no easy mountain to climb, but The Commish doesn't do quiet exits. Railway need to bring the storm today.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 6 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)
We seem to likely be clear of relegation after a good session last week, but a bad week could change that.
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Luton Town FC)
Best of luck, Al!
~ Mike ~ Jul 11 (Luton Town FC)
Fortunate to get a win in this coin toss. Good game Mr. C!
~ Allan ~ Jul 11 (Harrogate Railway AFC)