(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Burton Albion FC
James White
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS BURTON ALBION FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Gordon Wilkins 16 1 17 Gk Wim Cryuff 15 2 17 Sw Luís Morais 15 1 16 Sw Harrison Johnson 16 2 18 Df Lucas Soramaki 15 0 15 Df Liam Byrne 13 2 15 Df Charles Clarke 13 1 14 Df Julian Richter 11 2 13 Df Simon Charlton 11 2 13 Mf Sofiane Fernandez 15 2 17 Mf Gerry Shilton 13 1 14 Mf Hyun Ki Son 13 2 15 Mf Ashton Ali 13 1 14 Fw Carsten Petersen 15 2 17 Fw Mark Solomon 15 0 15 Fw Erik Nygård 13 2 15 Fw Giorgio Grasso 14 1 15 Fw Noah Monkhouse 13 2 15 Fw Angus Williamson 15 0 15 Fw Jens Christensen 14 2 16 Fw William Hay 9 2 11 Fw Markus Laursen 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 16 42 28 56 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 28 32 70 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 16 42 28 65 T O T A L S 17 21 28 32 70 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.02 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.66 (no red card) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.88 (no red card) Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.16 (no red card) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.94 (no red card) Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.61 (no red card) Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.24 (no red card) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.8 (no red card) Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.29 (no red card) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.25 (no red card) Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.74 (no red card) ******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.25 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.0 (no red card) Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.93 (no red card) Df Liam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.85 (no red card) Df Julian Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.91 (no red card) Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card) Mf Hyun Ki Son: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.98 (no red card) Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.94 (no red card) Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.55 (no red card) Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.07 (no red card) Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.64 (no red card) Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.39 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 20.14 (no injury) Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.3 (no injury) Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no injury) Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.7 (no injury) Mf Gerry Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.57 (no injury) Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.92 (no injury) Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.22 (no injury) Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.72 (no injury) Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no injury) Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.6 (no injury) ******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.83 (no injury) Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.41 (no injury) Df Liam Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.17 (no injury) Df Julian Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.11 (no injury) Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.25 (no injury) Mf Hyun Ki Son: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.34 (no injury) Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.82 (no injury) Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.1 (no injury) Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.95 (no injury) Fw Jens Christensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.66 (no injury) Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.88 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lucas Soramaki SL 15 - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 15 intRndPk = 87 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick) ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sofiane Fernandez SL 15 - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16 intRndPk = 50 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 16 42 28 65 Burton Albion FC 17 21 28 32 70 AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 37 (65 - 28); result rounded up AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 32) / 2; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 70) / 3; rounded up) AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 37 1: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 71 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw William Hay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 43.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Burton Albion FC 17 21 28 32 70 AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 16 42 28 65 Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 28 (70 - 42); result rounded up Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((32 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 65) / 3; rounded up) Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 30 1: Attack for Mf Hyun Ki Son Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 63.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Sofiane Fernandez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 42.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 62.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 36.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 25.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 92.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 29: Attack for Fw Jens Christensen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1 - BURTON ALBION FC 1
Match Notes
Our bogey team will send us down to the second division in style
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/20 - 11:36 AM