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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      BOSTON UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         16    2   18     Gk Reece Wilkinson         9    2   11
Sw Fortunato  Torres      14   -2   12     Sw Noah Smalls            14    2   16
Df Trevor Harewood        13    0   13     Df Graham Pike             9    1   10
Df Ben Lawrence           12    0   12     Df Quentin Lesage          9    2   11
Df Aidan O'Neil           11    2   13     Df Taylor Alexander        5    2    7
Df Vegar Aas               5    2    7     Mf Gunnar Vik              9    0    9
Mf Benjamin Healy         10    2   12     Mf David King              4    2    6
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      10    2   12     Fw Jacob Coppell          15    2   17
Fw Conor Thompson         15    0   15     Fw Giorgio Sanna           9    2   11
Fw William Torres         14    2   16     Fw Billy Moore            13    2   15
Fw Braulio  Salas         14    0   14     Fw Kenny Stretch           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 12 45 24 45        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 28 15 50    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 15 49 24 63         T O T A L S       14 16 28 17 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 4.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 79.47 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 33.33 (no second yellow)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 94.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 56.54 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 59.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 39.73 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 5.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 57.08 (no second yellow)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 19.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 56.61 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 90.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 20.06 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 6.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 97.05 (no second yellow)

Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 10.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 46.99 (no second yellow)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 91.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 77.38 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 96.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 68.35 (no red card)

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.1 (no red card)

Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)

Df Graham Pike: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.7 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.82 (no red card)

Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.71 (no red card)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.17 (no red card)

Mf David King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.27 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.53 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.74 (no red card)

Fw Billy Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.85 (no red card)

Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.21 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 53.57 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 68.46 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.34 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 26.92 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.67 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 86.84 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.14 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 21.62 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 36.68 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.13 (no injury) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 23.23 (no injury) 
Sw Noah Smalls: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 31.1 (no injury) 
Df Graham Pike: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 22.88 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 33.08 (no injury) 
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 10.24 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 63.09 (no injury) 
Mf David King: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 34.83 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 34.47 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 70.08 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Moore: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 80.05 (no injury) 
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 55.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Conor Thompson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 9

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jacob Coppell SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 63 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 98 (pk blocked)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  15  49  24  63
  Boston United            14  16  28  17  50

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 35 (63 - 28); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((24 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 39

1: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Juan Jose Carmona
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw William Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 20.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            14  16  28  17  50
  Harrogate Railway AFC    21  15  49  24  63

Boston United Fw Attacks = 1 (50 - 49); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  BOSTON UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
We REALLY need to win this final game. Like really bad.
Rob (Boston United) 03/07 - 7:20 PM
Uh oh...I hope we don't injure Wilkins...

Boston United
• Boston United are free of injuries entering today's match.
• Carrington Wilkins (III/11 Fw) is in line to make his 75th
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/08 - 12:18 AM
Beavers 5 goal underdogs at least.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/08 - 6:42 PM
Sure seems unfair that our team gets called for fouls in the penalty area so much. Amiright?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/09 - 8:25 PM
 
 
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