(H)
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S MARINE FC AFC FYLDE Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Francis Lloyd 7 0 7 Gk James MacLeod 6 2 8 Df Finlay Cooke 8 0 8 Df Jeff Hughes 6 2 8 Df Tihamér Pap 7 0 7 Df Matheo Seguin 2 2 4 Df Gordon Shaw 5 0 5 Mf James Gallaher 10 0 10 Df Jelle Beckers 5 0 5 Mf Wes Lambert 6 2 8 Mf Andrea Marino 8 0 8 Mf Euan Barclay 2 2 4 Mf Harry Sinclair 5 0 5 Mf Samuel Cabral 2 2 4 Mf Hajime Sakamoto 4 1 5 Fw Ellis Boddington 10 0 10 Fw Cristobal Saez 9 0 9 Fw Jonas Baumann 10 0 10 Fw Reuben Dowson 8 0 8 Fw Rodrigo Carvalho 6 2 8 Fw Lucas Le gal 4 0 4 Fw Max Daly 2 2 4 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 7 0 25 18 21 ROSTER TOTALS 8 0 12 26 32 0 0 3 0 3 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 3 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 7 0 31 19 27 T O T A L S 8 0 12 26 32 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.08 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.24 (no red card) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 67.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 91.43 (no red card) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 42.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 52.51 (no red card) Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 89.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 64.66 (no red card) Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 26.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 66.69 (no red card) Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 74.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 11.67 (no red card) Mf Harry Sinclair: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 8.16 (no red card) Mf Hajime Sakamoto: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 42.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 97.25 (no red card) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 14.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 5.35 (no red card) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 34.31 (no red card) Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 4.61 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 7.99 (no second yellow) ******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.14 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.57 (no red card) Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.07 (no red card) Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.26 (no red card) Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.27 (no red card) Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.55 (no red card) Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.74 (no red card) Mf Samuel Cabral: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.38 (no red card) Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.42 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.87 (no second yellow) Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.12 (no red card) Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.7 (no red card) Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.33 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6 - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 2.57 (no injury) Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.14 (no injury) Df Gordon Shaw: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.24 (no injury) Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.4 (no injury) Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 44.44 (no injury) Mf Harry Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.47 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Harry Sinclair is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Harry Sinclair new match skill level = 3 Harry Sinclair new match total level = 3 Mf Hajime Sakamoto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 73.21 (no injury) Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.86 (no injury) Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.53 (no injury) ******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.5% Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.67 (no injury) Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury) Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 91.88 (no injury) Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 63.69 (no injury) Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 33.33 (no injury) Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 92.61 (no injury) Mf Samuel Cabral: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 76.45 (no injury) Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury) Fw Jonas Baumann: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.66 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Jonas Baumann is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Jonas Baumann new match skill level = 5 Jonas Baumann new match total level = 5 Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 86.86 (no injury) Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 68.48 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 9 - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 6 intRndPk = 56 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: James Gallaher SL 10 - Defending Gk: Francis Lloyd SL 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 7 0 31 17 27 AFC Fylde 8 0 12 26 27 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 15 (27 - 12); result rounded up Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Marine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 27) / 5); result rounded up Marine FC Total Attacks = 16 1: Attack for Df Tihamér Pap Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 0.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Lucas Le gal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 54.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 83.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 48.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 13.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 59.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 25.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Cristobal Saez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Lucas Le gal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 58.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Fylde 8 0 12 26 27 Marine FC 7 0 31 17 27 AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 31) AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 5 ((26 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((12 - 27) / 5; rounded up) AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 5 1: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 11.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 82.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf James Gallaher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 87.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E MARINE FC 3 - AFC FYLDE 3