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Saturday, November 23rd, 2024 - 08:07:55 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Euan Fleming           16    2   18     Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17
Sw Douglas Pereira        16    1   17     Sw Fortunato  Torres      14    2   16
Df Louie Ince             17    1   18     Df Ben Lawrence           14    2   16
Df Luca Herrmann          17    0   17     Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16
Df Jake McDonald          14    2   16     Df Benjamin Newton        13    2   15
Fw Leon Baumann           15    1   16     Df Gabriel Williams        5    2    7
Mf Thomas Williams        16    1   17     Mf Juan Jose Carmona      13    2   15
Mf Eoghan Carroll         17    1   18     Mf Benjamin Healy          5    2    7
Fw Greg Scott             15    1   16     Fw Cooper Smith           14    2   16
Fw Lorenzo Santana        14    1   15     Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15
Fw Nils Pettersson         9    2   11     Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 51 35 58        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 54 22 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 51 35 67         T O T A L S       17 16 54 22 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.69 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.1 (no red card)

Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.85 (no red card)

Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.18 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.4 (no red card)

Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.83 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.71 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.5 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.85 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.92 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.31 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.15 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.95 (no second yellow)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.56 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.42 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.32 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.69 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.82 (no red card)

Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.43 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.71 (no red card)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.94 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.99 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 69.03 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no injury) 
Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.57 (no injury) 
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.55 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.27 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.19 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.12 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.08 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.77 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.51 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Nils Pettersson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nils Pettersson new match skill level =  5
      Nils Pettersson new match total level =  7

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.18 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.46 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.6 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.26 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.77 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.3 (no injury) 
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.55 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.93 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Ince SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Lawrence SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        18  17  51  35  63
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  16  54  22  47

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 9 (63 - 54); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((35 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((51 - 47) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Louie Ince
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 87.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  16  54  22  47
  Welling United FC        18  17  51  35  63

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 51)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Everyone is an underdog in this one.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/20 - 5:21 AM
I wonder. If Al knew that Eduard needed just a few more goals to overtake Ian for 1st, would we have seen the full youth team here?
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/23 - 6:44 PM
 
 
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