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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk George Cockham         15    2   17     Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17
Sw Christian Murray       16    2   18     Sw Inge Møller            15    2   17
Df Albert Goodwin         13    2   15     Df Stephen Ard            15    2   17
Df Zak Strachan           10    2   12     Df Shaun Gibson           13    0   13
Mf Patrick Torres         12    2   14     Df David Verger            9    2   11
Mf Louis Ferdinand         9    2   11     Df Marcus Hagen            5    2    7
Fw Archie Hill            16    2   18     Mf Jake Bell               9    2   11
Fw Ollie O'Brien          17    1   18     Mf Isaac Richman           5    2    7
Fw Freddie Rees           11    2   13     Fw Manuel  Jiménez        15    2   17
Fw Young Soo Shin         10    2   12     Fw Luke McDonald           9    2   11
Fw Rafael Almeida          5    2    7     Fw Luca Taylor             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 18 27 25 68        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 48 18 35    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  6  1  0    
=======================================================================
      20 19 27 26 76         T O T A L S       17 17 54 19 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.11 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.81 (no red card)

Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.41 (no red card)

Df Zak Strachan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.43 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.68 (no red card)

Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.26 (no red card)

Fw Archie Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.29 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.91 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)

Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.77 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Almeida: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.52 (no second yellow)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.12 (no red card)

Sw Inge Møller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.82 (no red card)

Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.51 (no red card)

Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.8 (no red card)

Df David Verger: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.23 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      David Verger new match skill level =  5
      David Verger new match total level =  7

Df Marcus Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.33 (no red card)

Mf Jake Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.38 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.53 (no red card)

Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.78 (no red card)

Fw Luke McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.23 (no red card)

Fw Luca Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk George Cockham: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 56.07 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.98 (no injury) 
Df Albert Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.31 (no injury) 
Df Zak Strachan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.21 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.07 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.79 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.41 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.78 (no injury) 
Fw Young Soo Shin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.56 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.84 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 97.55 (no injury) 
Sw Inge Møller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.94 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.76 (no injury) 
Df Shaun Gibson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.78 (no injury) 
Df David Verger: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.21 (no injury) 
Df Marcus Hagen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.02 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Bell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.65 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Jake Bell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jake Bell new match skill level =  5
      Jake Bell new match total level =  7
Mf Isaac Richman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.52 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.3 (no injury) 
Fw Luke McDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.71 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ollie O'Brien SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Stephen Ard SL 15
   - Defending Gk: George Cockham SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       20  19  27  26  76
  Kingstonian FC           17  17  50  15  35

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 26 (76 - 50); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((26 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 16.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Louis Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Louis Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Louis Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Louis Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Young Soo Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Rafael Almeida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Young Soo Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Young Soo Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Young Soo Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Archie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           17  17  50  15  35
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       20  19  27  26  76

Kingstonian FC is Playing For A Draw!
Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 4 (35 - 27) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 76) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Manuel  Jiménez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Luca Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Luke McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Luca Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 3  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Will Alon relegate us?
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/14 - 5:19 PM
If the attack numbers were flipped, I probably still would have lost.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/14 - 7:26 PM
 
 
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