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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Worksop Town FC
David Morgan
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                WORKSOP TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felipe Carvalho         9    2   11     Gk Stansislav Kozlov       8    2   10
Sw Gordon Gregory         10    2   12     Sw Léo Laurent            13    1   14
Df Billy Slater           10    2   12     Df Graham Clarke          13    1   14
Df Erik Meyer             10    2   12     Df Gordon Jackson         14    1   15
Df Sying Yáng             11    1   12     Df Kyle Elder              8    2   10
Mf Jason Ellis            12    2   14     Mf Toby Annesleyy         11    0   11
Mf Giorgio Testa          12    2   14     Mf Miguel González        11   -1   10
Mf Sam Bate               12    0   12     Mf Manuel Flores           8    2   10
Mf Thomas Constant        10    0   10     Fw Henry Hall             11    0   11
Fw Sam Lewis              12    1   13     Fw Leon Bailey             9    1   10
Fw Luca Bell              10    1   11     Fw Alistair Begum          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 12 36 50 24        ROSTER TOTALS      10 14 39 31 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 12 39 50 36         T O T A L S       10 14 39 31 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.06 (no red card)

Sw Gordon Gregory: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.79 (no red card)

Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.88 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.02 (no red card)

Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.72 (no red card)

Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.65 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no red card)

Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.34 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.99 (no red card)

Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.75 (no red card)

Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.58 (no red card)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Stansislav Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.72 (no red card)

Sw Léo Laurent: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.66 (no red card)

Df Graham Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.26 (no red card)

Df Gordon Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.37 (no red card)

Df Kyle Elder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.33 (no red card)

Mf Toby Annesleyy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.98 (no red card)

Mf Miguel González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.83 (no red card)

Fw Henry Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.92 (no red card)

Fw Leon Bailey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.58 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.14 (no injury) 
Sw Gordon Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.59 (no injury) 
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.71 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.55 (no injury) 
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.88 (no injury) 
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.06 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.23 (no injury) 
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.39 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.66 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.89 (no injury) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Worksop Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Stansislav Kozlov: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 41.37 (no injury) 
Sw Léo Laurent: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) 
Df Graham Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.04 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Elder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.46 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Annesleyy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.84 (no injury) 
Mf Miguel González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.88 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Flores: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.21 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Hall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.59 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Bailey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Begum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jason Ellis SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Stansislav Kozlov SL 8

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Jackson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Felipe Carvalho SL 9

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              11  12  39  50  36
  Worksop Town FC          10  14  39  31  27

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 39)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((50 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((39 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Billy Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Billy Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 95.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Billy Slater
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 96.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WORKSOP TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Worksop Town FC          10  14  39  31  27
  Mossley AFC              11  12  39  50  36

Worksop Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 39)
Worksop Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Worksop Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((39 - 36) / 3); result rounded up
Worksop Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Graham Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 91.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 3  -  WORKSOP TOWN FC 1
 

Match Notes

Mossley versus Worksop. David Morgan's side travel to face a team I know nothing about, which puts me in the unusual position of knowing exactly as much as everyone else. Cold comfort, but comfort nonetheless.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 8 (Goole AFC)  
All the best, Mike....
~ David ~ Jul 9 (Worksop Town FC)  
Surely not ALL the best. Save some if the best for yourself....
~ Phil ~ Jul 11 (AFC Fylde)  
Excellent!!
~ David ~ Jul 12 (Worksop Town FC)  
 
 
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