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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Lewis         11    2   13     Gk Dylan Foster           11    2   13
Sw Paul MacKenzie          9    2   11     Sw Jamie Johnson          14    2   16
Df Hans Hahn              12    0   12     Df Robin Ostrander        18   -2   16
Df Louie Bentinck         11    1   12     Df Sebastian Shrimpton    13    1   14
Df Erik Meyer              5    2    7     Df Thomás Lebre            9    2   11
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu           14    0   14     Df Kenny White             9    2   11
Mf Zachary Bell           13    1   14     Mf Jonathan Heddle        14   -2   12
Mf George Thomas           6    2    8     Mf Nathan Dean             5    2    7
Fw Nico Fuchs             11    2   13     Mf David Perry             5    2    7
Fw Isak Ekström           10    2   12     Fw Nathan Phillips         9    1   10
Fw Eirik Iversen           6    2    8     Fw Philipp Hoffmann        5    0    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 11 31 36 33        ROSTER TOTALS      13 16 52 26 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 31 36 42         T O T A L S       14 16 52 26 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.55 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.44 (no red card)

Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)

Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.56 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.86 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)

Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.87 (no red card)

Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.69 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.3 (no red card)

Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.22 (no red card)

Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.55 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.81 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.24 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.74 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.7 (no red card)

Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.72 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.72 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.57 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.96 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.42 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.49 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.13 (no injury) 
Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.19 (no injury) 
Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.83 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.27 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.55 (no injury) 
Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury) 
Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.68 (no injury) 
Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no injury) 
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.59 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.22 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.45 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.52 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.03 (no injury) 
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.3 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.05 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.23 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.32 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.92 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kuan-Yin Zhu SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 11

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              13  11  31  36  42
  Luton Town FC            14  16  52  26  15

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 52)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((36 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((31 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Hans Hahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Hans Hahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Hans Hahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Louie Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Zachary Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Zachary Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14  16  52  26  15
  Mossley AFC              13  11  31  36  42

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 31)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((52 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 0  -  LUTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Good luck Mike
Mike (Mossley AFC) 03/07 - 4:31 PM
 
 
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