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Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Kennedy          11    2   13     Gk Francis Lloyd           7    0    7
Sw Simon Howells           9    1   10     Df Tihamér Pap             9    1   10
Df Peter Price            12    0   12     Df Tyler Reynolds          7    0    7
Df Nathan Doyle            9    2   11     Df Jelle Beckers           7    2    9
Df Luke Sinclair           5    2    7     Df Ryan Richardson         5    2    7
Mf Marty Nicholls          7   -1    6     Mf Bailey Hills            9    0    9
Mf Florian Fuchs           7   -1    6     Mf Glenn Ellis             8    0    8
Mf Evan Jones              4    2    6     Mf Adi Peretz              5    2    7
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      13    1   14     Fw Reuben Dowson           9    0    9
Fw Alejandro Vera         11    1   12     Fw Cristobal Saez          9    1   10
Fw Darren Burroughs        4    1    5     Fw Lucas Le gal            7    1    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 30 18 31        ROSTER TOTALS       7  0 33 24 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 30 18 40         T O T A L S        7  0 36 24 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.24 (no red card)

Sw Simon Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.33 (no red card)

Df Peter Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.02 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.82 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.46 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card)

Mf Florian Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.03 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.4 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.14 (no red card)

Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.25 (no red card)

Fw Darren Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.1 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.08 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 87.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 22.47 (no red card)

Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 88.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 96.05 (no red card)

Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 93.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 61.56 (no red card)

Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 27.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 70.12 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 62.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 45.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 81.37 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 66.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 28.43 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 6.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 17.93 (no second yellow)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 14.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 55.89 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 69.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 87.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Frank Kennedy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury) 
Sw Simon Howells: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 3.94 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Simon Howells is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Simon Howells new match skill level =  5
      Simon Howells new match total level =  6
Df Peter Price: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 67.55 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 39.84 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 46.77 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 5.81 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Marty Nicholls is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Marty Nicholls new match skill level =  4
      Marty Nicholls new match total level =  3
Mf Florian Fuchs: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 46.04 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 96.86 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 53.18 (no injury) 
Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Alejandro Vera is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alejandro Vera new match skill level =  6
      Alejandro Vera new match total level =  7
Fw Darren Burroughs: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 39.23 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Francis Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 44.94 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.24 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.21 (no injury) 
Df Jelle Beckers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.94 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.02 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.44 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.3 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.0 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.15 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.39 (no injury) 
Fw Lucas Le gal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Francesco Rinaldi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Francis Lloyd SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tihamér Pap SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Frank Kennedy SL 11

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 64% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       13   6  30  15  35
  Marine FC                7   0  36  24  30

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 36)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                7   0  36  24  30
  Chippenham Town FC       13   6  30  15  35

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 30)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((24 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Marine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((36 - 35) / 5); result rounded up
Marine FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Ryan Richardson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Bailey Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Glenn Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Bailey Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Glenn Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 87.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Bailey Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  MARINE FC 3
 
Match Notes
All the best Derek
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 07/18 - 8:22 AM
 
 
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