(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC ILKESTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Benjamin Guery 13 2 15 Gk Tobias Ødegård 16 2 18
Df Francis Martin 14 2 16 Sw Declan MacLellan 13 2 15
Df Chris Howard 14 1 15 Df Leo McNeill 13 -2 11
Df Murray Taylor 11 2 13 Df Callum Henderson 11 2 13
Df Jeff Charlton 9 2 11 Df Hector Araya 10 2 12
Mf Alexander Daly 14 2 16 Mf Cliff Cooper 10 2 12
Mf Charlie Hayes 14 0 14 Fw Marcos Pinto 15 2 17
Mf Alistair Carr 13 1 14 Fw Craig Porterfield 15 2 17
Mf Liam Dixon 12 1 13 Fw Marcos Nuñez 15 2 17
Fw Trevor Hanny 14 2 16 Fw Cole Hamilton 16 2 18
Fw Sveinur Hansen 15 0 15 Mf Alex Murphy 10 2 12
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 0 55 57 31 ROSTER TOTALS 18 15 36 24 69
0 0 3 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 6 3 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 0 64 60 31 T O T A L S 21 16 36 24 69
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.83 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.06 (no red card)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 57.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 70.12 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.5 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.11 (no second yellow)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 50.86 (no red card)
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 57.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.35 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 10.71 (no red card)
Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.74 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 17.53 (no second yellow)
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no red card)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 48.62 (no red card)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no red card)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 34.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 54.91 (no red card)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.03 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 40.92 (no red card)
Sw Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.94 (no red card)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.91 (no red card)
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.28 (no red card)
Df Hector Araya: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.76 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.08 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Cliff Cooper new match skill level = 5
Cliff Cooper new match total level = 7
Fw Marcos Pinto: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.41 (no red card)
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.41 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.92 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Marcos Nuñez new match skill level = 8
Marcos Nuñez new match total level = 10
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.76 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.7 (no second yellow)
Mf Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.05 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 75.87 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.93 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.71 (no injury)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.91 (no injury)
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.19 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.86 (no injury)
Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.63 (no injury)
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.77 (no injury)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.12 (no injury)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.5 (no injury)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.34 (no injury)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 1
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.53 (no injury)
Sw Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury)
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 78.83 (no injury)
Df Hector Araya: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 78.33 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.56 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Pinto: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 58.57 (no injury)
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.1 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.83 (no injury)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 56.21 (no injury)
Mf Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 6.19 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Cole Hamilton SL 16
- Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 65 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 15 0 64 60 31
Ilkeston Town FC 21 16 36 19 62
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 36)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 21 ((60 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((64 - 62) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Df Murray Taylor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 36.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 66.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 88.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 96.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 21.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Mf Alistair Carr
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ilkeston Town FC 21 16 36 19 62
Carlton Town FC 15 0 64 60 31
Carlton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (62 - 64)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 60) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Hector Araya
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Callum Henderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 2 - ILKESTON TOWN FC 2
Match Notes
Carlton Town at home to Olmec Steve's Ilkeston. Two clubs, one fixture, and somewhere in Ilkeston a man shares my name but presumably more optimism about the afternoon ahead.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 8 (Goole AFC)
It's a promotion six-pointer.
~ Jason ~ Jul 11 (Kingstonian FC)
Typical Olmec - we play 1 hard and they play 3. We get two red cards Olmec sticking it to us at the back end of the season.
~ Steve ~ Jul 11 (Ilkeston Town FC)