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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gordon Wilkins         15    1   16     Gk Ramon Garcia           16    2   18
Sw Luís Morais            16    0   16     Sw Connor Howard          10    2   12
Df Markus Jacobsen        15    2   17     Df Kyle Low               15    2   17
Df Robert Howells         14    1   15     Df Thiago Carvalho        13    2   15
Df Lucas Soramaki         13    1   14     Df Pedro Almeida           9    2   11
Mf Niklas König           14    2   16     Mf Eirik Paulsen          15    2   17
Mf Christopher Cannon      9    2   11     Mf Francisco Alvarez      13    2   15
Fw William Hay            15    2   17     Mf Ashton Hill             5    2    7
Fw Mark Solomon           14    0   14     Fw Billy Arnold           15    2   17
Fw Sam East                9    2   11     Fw Takeo Nakamura         15    2   17
Fw Angus Williamson        8    2   10     Fw Kian Williams          15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 16 46 27 52        ROSTER TOTALS      18 12 43 39 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  1  0  0  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  2  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 17 46 27 63         T O T A L S       18 14 43 41 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.93 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.71 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.37 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.02 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.66 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.01 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.36 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.49 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.53 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.76 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.11 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.59 (no red card)

Sw Connor Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.14 (no red card)

Df Kyle Low: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.88 (no red card)

Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.43 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.61 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)

Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.61 (no red card)

Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.4 (no red card)

Fw Kian Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.16 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.04 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.12 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.52 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.77 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.81 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.25 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.6 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.73 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.75 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 20.35 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.21 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Low: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.31 (no injury) 
Df Thiago Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.28 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.39 (no injury) 
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.56 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.42 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.08 (no injury) 
Fw Billy Arnold: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.65 (no injury) 
Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.77 (no injury) 
Fw Kian Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.77 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Markus Jacobsen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 16

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kyle Low SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   19  17  46  27  63
  Hyde FC                  18  14  43  41  51

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 20 (63 - 43); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 93.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  18  14  43  41  51
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   19  17  46  27  63

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 5 (51 - 46); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((41 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Eirik Paulsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Eirik Paulsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Eirik Paulsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Francisco Alvarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 59.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Billy Arnold
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Billy Arnold
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Kian Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2  -  HYDE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Need to remain focused at R&D. A draw would be great for Hyde
Carl (Hyde FC) 03/02 - 11:24 AM
Another match against one of our bogey teams in the most important session of the year
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/04 - 1:15 AM
Our SW just wasn’t good enough. R@D deserved that win
Carl (Hyde FC) 03/09 - 2:33 PM
Didn't clinch us another year in the same division, but without the win we're down
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/09 - 5:11 PM
 
 
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