(H)
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 2
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Ryan Caron 11 1 12 Gk Denis Martin 13 2 15
Sw Danny Butcher 12 1 13 Sw Keith Davis 13 2 15
Df Daniel Baldwin 10 0 10 Df Diego Acosta 13 2 15
Df Cliff Trickelbank 10 0 10 Df Steven Gascoigne 9 0 9
Df Jared Lampton 6 2 8 Df Steven Williams 6 2 8
Mf Lucas Phillips 10 0 10 Mf Cristobal Benitez 13 2 15
Mf Rodrigo Fernández 6 2 8 Mf Simon Fischer 8 1 9
Fw Raphaël Soulie 13 1 14 Mf Haakon Ødegård 6 2 8
Fw Aidan Anderson 11 1 12 Fw Noah Schäfer 14 2 16
Fw Leo O'Donnell 6 2 8 Fw Baron Marshall 14 1 15
Fw Kai Roberts 2 2 4 Fw Luiz Correia 6 2 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 13 28 18 38 ROSTER TOTALS 15 15 32 32 39
1 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 14 28 18 47 T O T A L S 15 15 32 32 39
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.29 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 57.3 (no red card)
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.84 (no red card)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 35.78 (no red card)
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.65 (no red card)
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.59 (no red card)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.62 (no red card)
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.49 (no red card)
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.34 (no red card)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.45 (no red card)
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.89 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.22 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.69 (no red card)
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.31 (no red card)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.22 (no red card)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.88 (no red card)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.99 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.96 (no red card)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.72 (no red card)
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.98 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.34 (no red card)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.78 (no red card)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 36.84 (no injury)
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.2 (no injury)
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.38 (no injury)
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.67 (no injury)
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.74 (no injury)
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.18 (no injury)
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.54 (no injury)
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.04 (no injury)
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.83 (no injury)
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.22 (no injury)
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.19 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 25.13 (no injury)
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.43 (no injury)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.37 (no injury)
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.72 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.91 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.91 (no injury)
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.25 (no injury)
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.21 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.87 (no injury)
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.76 (no injury)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.25 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Raphaël Soulie SL 13
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 13
intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Noah Schäfer SL 14
- Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Supermarine FC 13 14 28 18 47
FC United of Manchester 15 15 32 32 39
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 15 (47 - 32); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 32) / 2; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 39) / 3; rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 15 15 32 32 39
Swindon Supermarine FC 13 14 28 18 47
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 11 (39 - 28); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 7 ((32 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 47) / 3; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Haakon Ødegård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Haakon Ødegård
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 0 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2
Match Notes
22 seasons since our last road win @ Supermarine? What’s another at this point?
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/12 - 12:18 AM
Shocking win!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/20 - 3:58 PM
Sw Davis had a great day, as Gk Martin only had to face two shots
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 01/20 - 3:58 PM