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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CLEVEDON TOWN FC                           SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Christopher Clyne      11    2   13     Gk Jay Hussain            14    0   14
Sw Nathan Khan            14    2   16     Df Pablo Arboleda         13    0   13
Df Calum Morrison         13    0   13     Df Thomas McIntyre        10    1   11
Df Guillaume Chauvin      13    1   14     Df Mason Shaw              6    2    8
Df Michael Thompson        5    2    7     Mf Noah Young             11    1   12
Mf Jake Brooks            11    0   11     Mf Mons Nygård            10    0   10
Mf Ethan Duckworth        10    2   12     Mf Ryan White              6    2    8
Mf James Fox               9    1   10     Mf Lewis Coppell           6    2    8
Fw Joshua Gordon          15    0   15     Mf Ryan Ludley             2    2    4
Fw Juan Martin            11    1   12     Fw Pedro Souza            11    0   11
Fw Jamie Hunt             10    2   12     Fw Jermaine Bennett        6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 16 34 33 39        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 32 42 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 16 34 33 48         T O T A L S       14  0 32 42 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.7 (no red card)

Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.02 (no red card)

Df Calum Morrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.05 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.33 (no red card)

Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.02 (no second yellow)

Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.58 (no red card)

Mf James Fox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.92 (no red card)

Fw Joshua Gordon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.99 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.94 (no second yellow)

Fw Juan Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.14 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.81 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.81 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.0 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.13 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.05 (no red card)

Mf Noah Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.94 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.19 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.86 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.71 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.64 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.31 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Christopher Clyne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.97 (no injury) 
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Nathan Khan is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nathan Khan new match skill level =  7
      Nathan Khan new match total level =  9
Df Calum Morrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.96 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Chauvin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.35 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.16 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Brooks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.5 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Duckworth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.34 (no injury) 
Mf James Fox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.88 (no injury) 
Fw Joshua Gordon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.96 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.45 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.42 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.41 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.35 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.55 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.99 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.29 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.13 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.47 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.54 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.54 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.73 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.93 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joshua Gordon SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 14

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pablo Arboleda SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Christopher Clyne SL 11

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         13   9  34  33  48
  Swindon Supermarine FC   14   0  32  42  19

Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 16 (48 - 32); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((34 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Guillaume Chauvin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Calum Morrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Guillaume Chauvin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Calum Morrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Michael Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Juan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 69.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Joshua Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   14   0  32  42  19
  Clevedon Town FC         13   9  34  33  48

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 34)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((42 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 48) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 6.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Noah Young
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CLEVEDON TOWN FC 2  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Our home form last season was atrocious. Really need to remedy that if we are going to bounce back up.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 05/24 - 7:07 PM
Good start to the home league campaign.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 05/31 - 8:51 PM
 
 
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