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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Erik Holm              14    1   15     Gk Rodrigo Ponte           9    2   11
Sw Shane Sweeney          14    1   15     Sw Melker Fransson        15    2   17
Df James Hays             13    2   15     Df Finlay Brown           15    2   17
Df Fernando Silva         16    2   18     Df Kristoffer Myklebust   13    1   14
Df Nathan Meldrum          9    2   11     Df Bailey Williamson       9    2   11
Mf Cliff Gerrard          13    2   15     Mf Young Jae  Cho         15    2   17
Mf Nuno Eiras              5    2    7     Fw Callum Martin          10    2   12
Fw John MacDonald         14    2   16     Mf Finlay Pearson          9    2   11
Fw Leonardo Delgado       14    2   16     Fw João Alves             15    2   17
Fw Justin Neumann         13    2   15     Fw Patrick Ludley         11    1   12
Fw Lee Collins             9    2   11     Fw Archie Ferdinand        9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 44 22 58        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 42 28 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  0  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 47 22 64         T O T A L S       14 17 42 28 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.63 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.19 (no red card)

Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.31 (no red card)

Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.62 (no red card)

Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.17 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.39 (no red card)

Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.73 (no red card)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.67 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no second yellow)

Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.0 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.98 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.48 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rodrigo Ponte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.1 (no red card)

Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.95 (no red card)

Df Finlay Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.45 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.6 (no red card)

Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.41 (no red card)

Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.41 (no red card)

Fw Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.08 (no red card)

Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.43 (no red card)

Fw João Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.49 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.19 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.27 (no injury) 
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.66 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.94 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.05 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.46 (no injury) 
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.42 (no injury) 
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.37 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.69 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Lee Collins is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lee Collins new match skill level =  5
      Lee Collins new match total level =  7

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rodrigo Ponte: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.11 (no injury) 
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.67 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.39 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.88 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.58 (no injury) 
Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.57 (no injury) 
Fw Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.7 (no injury) 
Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.51 (no injury) 
Fw João Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.04 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.92 (no injury) 
Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Rodrigo Ponte SL 9

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Finlay Brown SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    15  15  47  22  60
  Droylsden FC             14  17  42  28  52

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (60 - 42); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 95.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             14  17  42  28  52
  Harrogate Railway AFC    15  15  47  22  60

Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 5 (52 - 47); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Archie Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1  -  DROYLSDEN FC 1
 

Match Notes

Harrogate Railway host Droylsden. The Commish presides over his empire of mild consequence. Trains run on time; results, somewhat less reliably.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 6 (Goole AFC)  
Lucky to get a late equalizer to keep relegation away? Good game Mr. Gittins.
~ Allan ~ Jul 11 (Harrogate Railway AFC)  
A gritty draw, as they say. Needed to win it though.
~ Dave ~ Jul 11 (Droylsden FC)  
 
 
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