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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                HYDE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mateo Romano           13    2   15     Gk Ramon Garcia           15    2   17
Sw Paul MacKenzie         11    1   12     Sw Connor Howard           5    2    7
Df William Cockham        14    1   15     Df Jesse Williams         14    2   16
Df Andrea De Luca         12    1   13     Df Fernando Ayala         12    2   14
Df Hans Hahn              12    2   14     Df Luke Collins           11    2   13
Mf Coll Wilson            14    1   15     Mf Paul Thompson          14    2   16
Mf Callum Davies          10    1   11     Mf Fearghas Douglas       11    2   13
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu            9    2   11     Fw Laurence Gardner        8    2   10
Fw Nico Fuchs             12    1   13     Mf Eirik Paulsen           9    2   11
Fw Rob Ramsey             11    1   12     Fw Takeo Nakamura         15    2   17
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz      11    0   11     Fw Arthur Knight          15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 12 42 37 36        ROSTER TOTALS      17  7 43 40 44    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  3  0  2  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 12 45 40 44         T O T A L S       17  7 43 40 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.19 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.86 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.31 (no red card)

Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.54 (no red card)

Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.04 (no red card)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.4 (no red card)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.31 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.91 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.92 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.73 (no red card)

Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.14 (no red card)

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.32 (no red card)

Sw Connor Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.83 (no red card)

Df Jesse Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.76 (no red card)

Df Fernando Ayala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.33 (no red card)

Df Luke Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.58 (no red card)

Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.87 (no red card)

Mf Fearghas Douglas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.21 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Gardner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.52 (no red card)

Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.15 (no red card)

Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no red card)

Fw Arthur Knight: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.7 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.7 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.95 (no injury) 
Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no injury) 
Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.16 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.45 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.46 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.97 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.12 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.75 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.22 (no injury) 

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ramon Garcia: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.7 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.02 (no injury) 
Df Jesse Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.98 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Ayala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.97 (no injury) 
Df Luke Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.53 (no injury) 
Mf Paul Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.59 (no injury) 
Mf Fearghas Douglas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Gardner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.98 (no injury) 
Mf Eirik Paulsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.99 (no injury) 
Fw Takeo Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.85 (no injury) 
Fw Arthur Knight: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ramon Garcia SL 15

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Takeo Nakamura SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 13

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              18  12  45  40  44
  Hyde FC                  17   7  43  40  47

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 1 (44 - 43); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Juan Antonio Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  17   7  43  40  47
  Mossley AFC              18  12  45  40  44

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 2 (47 - 45); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Arthur Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Takeo Nakamura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 0  -  HYDE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Hoping to get a result from this one
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 8:39 PM
We need to avoid defeat to avoid relegation
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/14 - 5:41 AM
Shows how tight this division was. Draw means we avoid relegation but also means we miss promotion on goal differences. The handicapper got this division right 😁
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/21 - 6:14 AM
 
 
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