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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
York City FC
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    YORK CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18     Gk Marcus Mathisen        15    2   17
Sw Sylar Mack             12    2   14     Sw Arran Wood             16    2   18
Df Steven Gascoigne       16    2   18     Df Ethan Shaw             14    2   16
Df Louie Hill             11    2   13     Df Maximillian Beerman    16   -1   15
Df Diego Acosta           10    2   12     Df Barry Lane              9    2   11
Mf Simon Fischer          17    2   19     Mf Thomas Hills           13   -1   12
Mf Cristobal Benitez      15    2   17     Mf Alvarez  Jiménez       11    2   13
Mf Alvaro  Madrigal       14    2   16     Fw Juan Acosta            16    1   17
Fw Baron Marshall         16    2   18     Fw Nicola Marino          16    2   18
Fw Ben Byrne              14    2   16     Fw Reece Fortune-West     15    2   17
Fw Lawrence Clark         13    2   15     Fw Frank Gerrard           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 43 52 49        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 42 25 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 43 52 58         T O T A L S       17 18 42 25 64    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.03 (no red card)

Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.35 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.9 (no red card)

Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.04 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.94 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.55 (no red card)

Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.07 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.35 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Alvaro  Madrigal new match skill level =  7
      Alvaro  Madrigal new match total level =  9

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.53 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.64 (no red card)

Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.53 (no second yellow)

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.14 (no red card)

Sw Arran Wood: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.16 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.99 (no red card)

Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.97 (no red card)

Df Barry Lane: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.34 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Hills: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.63 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.03 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.57 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.53 (no red card)

Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.85 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 82.48 (no injury) 
Sw Sylar Mack: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.64 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.95 (no injury) 
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.27 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.52 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.32 (no injury) 
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.19 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.54 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.7 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.94 (no injury) 
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.21 (no injury) 

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 47.42 (no injury) 
Sw Arran Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.18 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.36 (no injury) 
Df Maximillian Beerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.0 (no injury) 
Df Barry Lane: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.37 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Hills: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.54 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Jiménez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.88 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.34 (no injury) 
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.83 (no injury) 
Fw Reece Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.9 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 99 (pk blocked)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Maximillian Beerman SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18  14  43  45  58
  York City FC             17  18  42  25  64

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 16 (58 - 42); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 10 ((45 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Lawrence Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             17  18  42  25  64
  FC United of Manchester  18  14  43  45  58

York City FC Fw Attacks = 21 (64 - 43); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Reece Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  YORK CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
JT is not who we want to be facing when we badly need a win to stay ahead of Haiku Holden and Senator Mike. Gotta get it here. @Hyde=loss in the final
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/03 - 4:02 PM
A very lucky win. Kevin will be ruing the missed PK.
James (York City FC) 03/10 - 8:47 AM
And that will probably get us relegated. Can’t win with T11 at home, we belong in Div 3 anyway
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/10 - 2:01 PM
 
 
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