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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17     Gk Einar Iversen           9    2   11
Sw Fortunato  Torres      14    2   16     Sw Carleton Clemence      15    2   17
Df Ben Lawrence           14    2   16     Df Edgar Moore            16    2   18
Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16     Df Nico König             13    2   15
Df Benjamin Newton        13    2   15     Df Noah May               11    2   13
Df Trevor Harewood         9    2   11     Df Darren Dowson           9    2   11
Mf Juan Jose Carmona      13    2   15     Mf Graham Banks           14    2   16
Mf Luis Schmidt           12    2   14     Mf Oscar Brown            13    2   15
Fw Cooper Smith           14    2   16     Mf Leon Laidlaw            9    2   11
Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15     Fw Thomas King            15    2   17
Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16     Fw Jose Luis Soler         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 58 29 47        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 57 42 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 16 58 29 56         T O T A L S       13 17 64 42 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.29 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.34 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.83 (no second yellow)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.58 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.73 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.59 (no red card)

Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.3 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.84 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.8 (no second yellow)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.37 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.17 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Einar Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)

Sw Carleton Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.5 (no red card)

Df Edgar Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.56 (no red card)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.17 (no red card)

Df Noah May: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.0 (no red card)

Df Darren Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.65 (no second yellow)

Mf Graham Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.5 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.72 (no red card)

Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no red card)

Fw Thomas King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.89 (no red card)

Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 15.99 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.96 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.93 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.59 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.68 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.52 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Jose Carmona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.09 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.35 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.75 (no injury) 
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.82 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.89 (no injury) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Einar Iversen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.32 (no injury) 
Sw Carleton Clemence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.29 (no injury) 
Df Edgar Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.92 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.12 (no injury) 
Df Noah May: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.79 (no injury) 
Df Darren Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.49 (no injury) 
Mf Graham Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.47 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.35 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.41 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.57 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Lawrence SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Einar Iversen SL 9

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edgar Moore SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19  16  58  29  56
  Droylsden FC             13  17  64  42  28

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (56 - 64)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 10 ((58 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Aidan O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Benjamin Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 26.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Ben Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             13  17  64  42  28
  Harrogate Railway AFC    19  16  58  29  56

Droylsden FC is Playing For A Draw!
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 58)
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((42 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 2 ((64 - 56) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Nico König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Noah May
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Graham Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Graham Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 37.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Graham Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 2  -  DROYLSDEN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Fortunate to win. Good match Dave.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/21 - 12:01 AM
 
 
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