(H)
Burton Albion FC
James White
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BURTON ALBION FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Ryan Walsh 16 2 18 Gk Leon Farrell 15 2 17
Sw Rendor Veres 16 2 18 Df Steven Williams 14 2 16
Df Adam Clarke 14 2 16 Df Finlay Butcher 13 1 14
Df Noah Thompson 10 2 12 Df Joshua Simpson 9 -1 8
Mf Robert O'Neal 13 2 15 Df Jannis Schmid 5 2 7
Mf Antonin Bourguignon 10 2 12 Mf Finn McMillan 16 2 18
Fw Ellis Ryan 14 2 16 Mf Kian Sansom 16 1 17
Fw Ian Lee 14 2 16 Mf Cristobal Benitez 16 2 18
Fw Markus Laursen 14 2 16 Fw Harley Dowson 16 1 17
Fw Francis Wilson 10 2 12 Fw Luiz Correia 14 2 16
Fw Jack Kennedy 5 2 7 Fw Noah Schäfer 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 18 28 27 67 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 45 53 48
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 18 28 27 76 T O T A L S 17 0 45 53 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.46 (no red card)
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.31 (no red card)
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.81 (no red card)
Df Noah Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.18 (no red card)
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.24 (no red card)
Mf Antonin Bourguignon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.45 (no red card)
Fw Ellis Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.09 (no red card)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.49 (no red card)
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.94 (no red card)
Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.68 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Francis Wilson new match skill level = 5
Francis Wilson new match total level = 7
Fw Jack Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.48 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.75 (no red card)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.97 (no red card)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.1 (no red card)
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.19 (no red card)
Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.52 (no red card)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.91 (no red card)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.45 (no red card)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.29 (no red card)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 81.85 (no injury)
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no injury)
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.63 (no injury)
Df Noah Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.15 (no injury)
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.63 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Robert O'Neal is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Robert O'Neal new match skill level = 7
Robert O'Neal new match total level = 9
Mf Antonin Bourguignon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.83 (no injury)
Fw Ellis Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.0 (no injury)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.12 (no injury)
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.93 (no injury)
Fw Francis Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no injury)
Fw Jack Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.12 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Leon Farrell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.47 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.0 (no injury)
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no injury)
Df Joshua Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury)
Df Jannis Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.83 (no injury)
Mf Finn McMillan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.15 (no injury)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.19 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.81 (no injury)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.09 (no injury)
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.04 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Adam Clarke SL 14
- Defending Gk: Leon Farrell SL 15
intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Finn McMillan SL 16
- Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 16
intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Burton Albion FC 20 18 28 21 71
FC United of Manchester 17 0 45 53 48
FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 13 (71 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 53) / 2; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Fw Francis Wilson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Ellis Ryan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Ellis Ryan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 43.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Markus Laursen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 17 0 45 53 48
Burton Albion FC 20 18 28 21 71
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 20 (48 - 28); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 16 ((53 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 71) / 5; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 36
1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Finn McMillan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 35.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 15.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
31: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Luiz Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 90.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BURTON ALBION FC 0 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2
Match Notes
Dr White likes to score goals. Kmart likes to throw one away. I have a feeling they will find a way to deeply satisfy each other.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 4 (Goole AFC)
A 2-goal win by the right honorable Dr. White here and we could find ourselves lurking below him in the tables with just one more to play
~ Kevin ~ Jul 6 (FC United of Manchester)
Unless he chooses to focus his efforts on Jason’s side, this could be his best chance to escape relegation. We fear the pending onslaught
~ Kevin ~ Jul 6 (FC United of Manchester)
James, please don't focus your efforts on Kingstonian. This is the match you need to win.
~ Jason ~ Jul 11 (Kingstonian FC)
A Burton win sends KEN down after 26 straight years in division I.
~ Dave ~ Jul 11 (AFC Wimbledon)
Kmart wins one, which statistically had to happen eventually. Dr White trusted nobody, and it turns out that included his own defence.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 11 (Goole AFC)
I believe we earned the W anyway, yet the straight red and the injury to Burton certainly didn’t hurt the cause. Unlucky for James
~ Kevin ~ Jul 14 (FC United of Manchester)