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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lewis Gray              9    2   11     Gk Joe Richman            14    0   14
Sw Julian Moreno          15    2   17     Sw Lucas Moore            14    2   16
Df Ben Collins            10    2   12     Df John Tufnel            16    0   16
Df James Dunn              9    2   11     Df Cesar Ruiz             13    2   15
Mf Zak Andrews            15    2   17     Df Josh Martin            11    2   13
Mf Carlton Bishop         14    2   16     Df Mateo  González         5    2    7
Mf Eli Yosef              13    2   15     Mf Melker Lundin          14    1   15
Mf Eduardo Santos          9    1   10     Mf Louie Richman          12    1   13
Mf Dylan Grant             9    2   11     Mf Patrick Gallaher       11    1   12
Fw Zak Bell               15    2   17     Fw George Taylor          12    0   12
Fw Niklas Möller           9    2   11     Fw Baron Rogers            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 17 23 69 28        ROSTER TOTALS      14 16 51 40 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 17 32 69 28         T O T A L S       14 16 51 42 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.15 (no red card)

Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.62 (no red card)

Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.02 (no red card)

Df James Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.87 (no red card)

Mf Zak Andrews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.35 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.34 (no second yellow)

Mf Eli Yosef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.47 (no red card)

Mf Eduardo Santos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.55 (no red card)

Mf Dylan Grant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.03 (no red card)

Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.75 (no red card)

Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.33 (no red card)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.33 (no red card)

Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.7 (no red card)

Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.28 (no red card)

Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.69 (no red card)

Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 43.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.47 (no red card)

Df Mateo  González: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.49 (no red card)

Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)

Mf Louie Richman: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.45 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.73 (no red card)

Fw George Taylor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.55 (no red card)

Fw Baron Rogers: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Lewis Gray: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 36.18 (no injury) 
Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.01 (no injury) 
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.26 (no injury) 
Df James Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 98.59 (no injury) 
Mf Zak Andrews: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.28 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.84 (no injury) 
Mf Eli Yosef: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.02 (no injury) 
Mf Eduardo Santos: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.0 (no injury) 
Mf Dylan Grant: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.89 (no injury) 
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Zak Bell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Zak Bell new match skill level =  8
      Zak Bell new match total level =  10
Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.52 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Joe Richman: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 24.1 (no injury) 
Sw Lucas Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 95.65 (no injury) 
Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.95 (no injury) 
Df Cesar Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 33.61 (no injury) 
Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.18 (no injury) 
Df Mateo  González: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.4 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.41 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Richman: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.84 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.2 (no injury) 
Fw George Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.14 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Rogers: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Zak Andrews SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Joe Richman SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 86 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: John Tufnel SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Gray SL 9

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          11  17  32  69  21
  Bridgwater Town          14  16  51  42  18

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 51)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((69 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((32 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df James Dunn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Ben Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Eduardo Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Eduardo Santos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Dylan Grant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Zak Andrews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Dylan Grant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Dylan Grant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Mf Dylan Grant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          14  16  51  42  18
  Bedford Town FC          11  17  32  69  21

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 32)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 69) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 10 ((51 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Cesar Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df John Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Cesar Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df John Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Cesar Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df John Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Cesar Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df John Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Josh Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Mateo  González
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 3  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 2
 

Match Notes

Like a bridge over troubled water what will happen here
~ Simon ~ Jun 27 (Bedford Town FC)  
Bedford versus Bridgwater. Two teams, one ball, ninety minutes of structured uncertainty. The cosmos remains unmoved, but then, it always does.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jun 29 (Goole AFC)  
Bridgwater making the long march to Bedford — two sides grinding through Division 3 with everything to prove. Expect a war of attrition from the first whistle.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 3 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)  
 
 
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