(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thiago Alves 14 2 16 Gk Maximilian Isaksson 15 2 17
Sw çngel Gabriel López 9 2 11 Df Graham Sansom 9 0 9
Df Marcelo Fernandez 15 1 16 Df Patrick Hopkins 6 2 8
Df Oscar Brennan 11 1 12 Df Felipe Cardoso 5 2 7
Df Christopher Macbeth 10 2 12 Df Mathias Garreau 5 2 7
Mf Vegard Haugland 14 0 14 Mf William Pedersen 8 2 10
Mf Ollie Ince 12 2 14 Mf Conor Farrell 7 2 9
Mf Giles Walsh 9 2 11 Mf Juan Fernández 6 0 6
Fw Alfred Forsberg 15 1 16 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 14 1 15
Fw George Shaw 12 -2 10 Fw Claudio Gentile 7 0 7
Fw Tommaso Villa 12 2 14 Fw Andrew Young 6 0 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 11 40 39 40 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 31 25 28
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 11 40 39 49 T O T A L S 17 0 31 25 28
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.09 (no red card)
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.69 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
çngel Gabriel López new match skill level = 5
çngel Gabriel López new match total level = 7
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.71 (no red card)
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.37 (no red card)
Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.48 (no red card)
Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.68 (no red card)
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.52 (no red card)
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.56 (no red card)
Fw George Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.07 (no red card)
Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.96 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.18 (no red card)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.99 (no red card)
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.15 (no red card)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.94 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.27 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.1 (no red card)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.2 (no red card)
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.83 (no red card)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.67 (no red card)
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.09 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.88 (no injury)
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.07 (no injury)
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.25 (no injury)
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.99 (no injury)
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.89 (no injury)
Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.95 (no injury)
Mf Ollie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.37 (no injury)
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.58 (no injury)
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.72 (no injury)
Fw George Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.1 (no injury)
Fw Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.87 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.56 (no injury)
Df Graham Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.09 (no injury)
Df Patrick Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.92 (no injury)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.95 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.64 (no injury)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.72 (no injury)
Mf Juan Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.01 (no injury)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.62 (no injury)
Fw Claudio Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.6 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.79 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Marcelo Fernandez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 15
intRndPk = 34
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Alf Abrahamsen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 14
intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 16 7 40 39 49
Forest Green Rovers FC 17 0 31 25 28
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 18 (49 - 31); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((39 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 29
1: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Christopher Macbeth
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Oscar Brennan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 51.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Ollie Ince
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.68 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw George Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Tommaso Villa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 17 0 31 25 28
Carlton Town FC 16 7 40 39 49
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 40)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 49) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 3 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
Match Notes
Carlton Town FC have won 24, lost 16 - i fear the worst
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/10 - 9:06 PM
oh dear
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/14 - 7:45 PM
oh dear
oh dear
oh dear
oh dear
oh dear
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/14 - 7:46 PM