(H)
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BEDFORD TOWN FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jake Flynn 14 2 16 Gk Dylan Foster 15 0 15
Sw Sean Buckley 16 2 18 Sw Jason Meyer 16 2 18
Df Theo Crowley 12 2 14 Df Robin Ostrander 13 2 15
Df Francisco Vera 9 2 11 Df Fabian Schulz 16 1 17
Mf Marco Rizzo 15 1 16 Df Harvey Marshall 10 2 12
Mf Jeff Shilton 9 2 11 Df Thomás Lebre 4 2 6
Fw Carlton Lloyd 15 2 17 Mf Harrison McBrayne 11 2 13
Fw Sean Sturridge 14 2 16 Mf Jonathan Heddle 9 -2 7
Fw Jed Monkhouse 13 2 15 Mf Victor Shepard 5 2 7
Fw Gonzalo Soler 9 2 11 Fw Facundo Bruno 9 2 11
Fw Corey Page 9 2 11 Fw Nathan Phillips 4 -2 2
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 18 25 27 70 ROSTER TOTALS 15 18 50 27 13
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 2 2 0
=======================================================================
16 18 27 27 77 T O T A L S 15 21 52 29 13
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.82 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.13 (no red card)
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.49 (no red card)
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.27 (no red card)
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.61 (no red card)
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.78 (no red card)
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.42 (no red card)
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.76 (no red card)
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.63 (no red card)
Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.21 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.88 (no red card)
Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.47 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.04 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.97 (no red card)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.18 (no red card)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.68 (no red card)
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.74 (no red card)
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.55 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.72 (no red card)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.89 (no red card)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.04 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.18 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no second yellow)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.12 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.18 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.98 (no injury)
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no injury)
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.45 (no injury)
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.72 (no injury)
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.94 (no injury)
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury)
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.93 (no injury)
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury)
Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.24 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.89 (no injury)
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.24 (no injury)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no injury)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.66 (no injury)
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury)
Df Harvey Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.52 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.05 (no injury)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no injury)
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.35 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.31 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.98 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.74 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Marco Rizzo SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 15
intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
- Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 14
intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bedford Town FC 16 18 27 27 77
Luton Town FC 15 21 52 29 13
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 25 (77 - 52); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((27 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Theo Crowley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Corey Page
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Corey Page
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 71 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Corey Page
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 42.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Corey Page
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 15 21 52 29 13
Bedford Town FC 16 18 27 27 77
Luton Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 27)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 27) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 77) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 1 - LUTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Defensive Luton
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/13 - 7:25 PM
Deserved
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/13 - 7:25 PM