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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          16    2   18     Gk Denis Martin           15    2   17
Sw Joel Strömberg          9    2   11     Sw Keith Davis            16    2   18
Df Philipp Koch           14    1   15     Df Finlay Butcher         13    2   15
Df Reis  Golan            12    2   14     Df Corey Mills            10    2   12
Df Sebastian Shrimpton    10    2   12     Df Steven Williams         9    2   11
Df Robin Ostrander         9    2   11     Mf Cristobal Benitez      16    2   18
Mf Jonathan Heddle        11    0   11     Mf Kian Sansom            13    2   15
Mf Harley Ritchie          5    2    7     Mf Haakon Ødegård          9    2   11
Fw Corey Williams          8    0    8     Fw Harley Dowson          14    2   16
Fw Albin Hansson           8    2   10     Fw Ben Byrne              13    2   15
Fw Mika Neuville           8    2   10     Fw Baron Marshall         14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 52 18 28        ROSTER TOTALS      17 18 38 44 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 52 27 28         T O T A L S       17 18 38 44 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.44 (no red card)

Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.52 (no red card)

Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.22 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.5 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.45 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.04 (no red card)

Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.45 (no red card)

Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.87 (no red card)

Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no second yellow)

Fw Mika Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.62 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.92 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.21 (no red card)

Df Corey Mills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.02 (no red card)

Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.7 (no red card)

Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.62 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.11 (no red card)

Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.53 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.12 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.27 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 82.05 (no injury) 
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.08 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.29 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.51 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.53 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.68 (no injury) 
Mf Harley Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.83 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.73 (no injury) 
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.84 (no injury) 
Fw Mika Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.85 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.46 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no injury) 
Df Corey Mills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.84 (no injury) 
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.6 (no injury) 
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.37 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.74 (no injury) 
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.26 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.85 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Philipp Koch SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 15

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristobal Benitez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16

     intRndPk = 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            18  11  52  27  28
  FC United of Manchester  17  18  38  44  47

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 38)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((52 - 47) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Reis  Golan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Philipp Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  17  18  38  44  47
  Luton Town FC            18  11  52  27  28

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 52)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 9 ((44 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 4 ((38 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Corey Mills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Steven Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Steven Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Haakon Ødegård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Kian Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 0  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
 
Match Notes
C-Ball is only a win out of the promotion zone. And has a ‘hasn’t lost at home to FCU in 22 seasons’ thing going on as well. Not looking good
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/02 - 5:47 PM
Still hasn’t lost at home to us, in what will be 23 seasons very soon. Some day, Mr. Cabral! Some day! (But not today)
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/09 - 8:03 PM
 
 
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