(H)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC TONBRIDGE ANGELS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Erik Holm 14 1 15 Gk Elias Jönsson 15 2 17
Sw Shane Sweeney 14 1 15 Sw Ismael Romero 9 2 11
Df James Hays 13 2 15 Df Steve Gordon 14 2 16
Df Freddy Arboleda 13 2 15 Df Ciaran Healy 13 2 15
Df Fernando Silva 16 2 18 Df William Larson 12 2 14
Df Kund Gáspár 5 2 7 Df Stan Thompson 9 2 11
Mf Gregor Millar 13 2 15 Mf Jordi Navarro 14 2 16
Mf Ross Browne 9 2 11 Mf Lok Lín 9 2 11
Fw John MacDonald 13 2 15 Fw Daniel Barbosa 15 2 17
Fw Leonardo Delgado 13 2 15 Fw Michael Turner 16 2 18
Fw Justin Neumann 13 2 15 Fw Hayden Marshall 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 15 55 26 45 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 56 27 46
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
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17 15 55 26 54 T O T A L S 18 14 63 27 46
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.14 (no red card)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.84 (no red card)
Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.64 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.79 (no red card)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.39 (no red card)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.85 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.69 (no red card)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.91 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.39 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.95 (no red card)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.36 (no red card)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.71 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 95.27 (no red card)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.42 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 44.32 (no second yellow)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 92.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 23.55 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 96.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 30.06 (no red card)
Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 15.01 (no red card)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 76.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 5.56 (no red card)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 75.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 22.55 (no red card)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.77 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 94.79 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 70.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.98 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 11.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 97.87 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.02 (no injury)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 80.74 (no injury)
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 21.55 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.21 (no injury)
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 69.07 (no injury)
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 86.63 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.63 (no injury)
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 27.97 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.96 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury)
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 91.75 (no injury)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.62 (no injury)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.54 (no injury)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.79 (no injury)
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.37 (no injury)
Df Stan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.67 (no injury)
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.75 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.45 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.75 (no injury)
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.61 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
- Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14
intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 17 15 55 26 54
Tonbridge Angels 18 14 63 27 46
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 63)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((55 - 46) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df James Hays
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Fernando Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 18 14 63 27 46
Harrogate Railway AFC 17 15 55 26 54
Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (46 - 55)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 26) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 2 ((63 - 54) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
Match Notes
Andy Shaw travels up from Middlesbrough with that iron defensive shield — but The Commish knows his ground and his crowd. This one could be a long, grinding siege.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jun 27 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)
Railway are safe in mid table we on the other hand are not.
~ Andy ~ Jul 4 (Tonbridge Angels)
Andy Shaw came to Harrogate and did exactly what Andy Shaw does — locked the gates, barred the windows, and left with his clean sheet. The Commish will be frustrated, but you have to respect the craft.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 4 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)
Andy did lock the gates today...congratulations Andy.
~ Allan ~ Jul 4 (Harrogate Railway AFC)
A point won but it still keeps us three points behind you Al.
~ Andy ~ Jul 11 (Tonbridge Angels)