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Burton Albion FC
James White
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BURTON ALBION FC                           AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Walsh             15    1   16     Gk Kevin Hawkins          16    1   17
Sw Rendor Veres           16    2   18     Df Axel Lacour            14    1   15
Df Christopher McLachlan  13    2   15     Df Gareth Trickelbank     13    2   15
Df Adam Clarke             9    2   11     Df Markus Jacobsen        12    2   14
Mf Francis Brakspear      14    2   16     Df Robert Howells         10    2   12
Mf Robert O'Neal           9    2   11     Df Baron Jackson           9    2   11
Fw Markus Laursen         13    2   15     Mf Gabriel Welbeck        15    2   17
Fw Niall Maguire          11    2   13     Mf Christopher Cannon     11    2   13
Fw Ben Frings             13    1   14     Mf Gareth Scott            9    2   11
Fw Ian Lee                 9    2   11     Fw Fernando Cano          15    1   16
Fw Albin Nilsson           8    2   10     Fw Sam East               13    1   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 18 26 27 63        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 67 41 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 18 26 27 72         T O T A L S       20  0 67 41 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.9 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.69 (no red card)

Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.2 (no red card)

Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.17 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.23 (no red card)

Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.27 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.47 (no red card)

Fw Niall Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.85 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.09 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.33 (no red card)

Fw Albin Nilsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.37 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.87 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.83 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.41 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.14 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.53 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.23 (no second yellow)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.64 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.15 (no second yellow)

Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.58 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.76 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.51 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.86 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.89 (no injury) 
Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Christopher McLachlan is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Christopher McLachlan new match skill level =  7
      Christopher McLachlan new match total level =  9
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.83 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.35 (no injury) 
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.94 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.5 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.59 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Ben Frings is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ben Frings new match skill level =  7
      Ben Frings new match total level =  8
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.86 (no injury) 
Fw Albin Nilsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.28 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.15 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.62 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.54 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.41 (no injury) 
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.39 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.12 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.5 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.31 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francis Brakspear SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Welbeck SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 15

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         16  18  20  27  66
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20   0  67  41  30

AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (66 - 67)
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20   0  67  41  30
  Burton Albion FC         16  18  20  27  66

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 10 (30 - 20); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 7 ((41 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 1 ((67 - 66) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Gareth Trickelbank
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Gabriel Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 51.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BURTON ALBION FC 0  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
James is my bogey team.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/28 - 7:33 PM
A goal would have given us a chance at promotion. Oh well
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/07 - 7:17 PM
 
 
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