(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS HYDE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kevin Hawkins 16 1 17 Gk João Barbosa 15 2 17
Sw Kai Laidlaw 15 1 16 Sw Mason Ferdinand 13 2 15
Df Leonardo Greco 13 1 14 Df Michael Wright 13 2 15
Df Baron Jackson 13 2 15 Df Pedro Almeida 13 2 15
Df Hayden Duncan 9 2 11 Df Jared Harper 11 2 13
Mf Gareth Scott 14 1 15 Mf Riley MacTavish 14 1 15
Mf Henry Henry 9 2 11 Mf Ashton Hill 13 2 15
Fw William Bell 12 2 14 Mf Cillian Jackson 12 2 14
Fw Sam East 15 1 16 Fw Dave Shilton 13 2 15
Fw Elliot Bunyan 11 2 13 Fw Jermaine Terry 14 0 14
Fw Nick Baumann 9 2 11 Fw Elliot Ritchie 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 16 40 26 54 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 43 44 40
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 4 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 16 40 26 65 T O T A L S 17 15 43 44 40
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.67 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 68.48 (no red card)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.41 (no red card)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.68 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.14 (no red card)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.0 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.93 (no red card)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.47 (no red card)
Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.54 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.11 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.89 (no red card)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card)
******* HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk João Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.45 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.89 (no red card)
Sw Mason Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.97 (no red card)
Df Michael Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.91 (no red card)
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.01 (no red card)
Df Jared Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.19 (no red card)
Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.37 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.78 (no second yellow)
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.32 (no red card)
Mf Cillian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.52 (no red card)
Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.15 (no red card)
Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.52 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 26.72 (no injury)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.72 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.73 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.27 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.55 (no injury)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.33 (no injury)
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.9 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.02 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.88 (no injury)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.46 (no injury)
******* HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk João Barbosa: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 88.08 (no injury)
Sw Mason Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.05 (no injury)
Df Michael Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.62 (no injury)
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.29 (no injury)
Df Jared Harper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.53 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Jared Harper is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Jared Harper new match skill level = 6
Jared Harper new match total level = 8
Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.74 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Riley MacTavish is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Riley MacTavish new match skill level = 7
Riley MacTavish new match total level = 8
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.5 (no injury)
Mf Cillian Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.27 (no injury)
Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.24 (no injury)
Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.88 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Ritchie: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.23 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
- Defending Gk: João Barbosa SL 15
intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jermaine Terry SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 16 40 26 65
Hyde FC 17 15 38 37 40
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 27 (65 - 38); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 37) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 40) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 60.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 90.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Hyde FC 17 15 38 37 40
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 16 40 26 65
Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 40)
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((37 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1 - HYDE FC 0
Match Notes
Another one of those, win and we get comfortable, lose and a relegation battle is ahead
~ Carl ~ Jun 28 (Hyde FC)
Cautious Carl crossing the water to Rushden — checklist packed, risk appetite empty. Hyde need something brave today or this one ends exactly how you'd expect.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jun 29 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)
We never play well against Hyde. I don't know why anyone would expect that to change here
~ John ~ Jul 3 (AFC Rushden & Diamonds)
I'll be tickled
~ John ~ Jul 4 (AFC Rushden & Diamonds)
We were lucky to keep it to one
~ Carl ~ Jul 5 (Hyde FC)