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Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KINGSTONIAN FC                             KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Brakspear       15    2   17     Gk Gareth Green           16    2   18
Sw Denis Pearce           13    2   15     Sw Harry Stewart          16    2   18
Df Michio Mori            14    2   16     Df Lucas Hill             15    2   17
Df Jack Brennan           13    2   15     Df Matías Cruz            10    2   12
Df Denis Ward             10    2   12     Df Marty Hunter            9    2   11
Fw Liam Cox               17    2   19     Mf Roger Flinders         14    0   14
Mf Danny Monkhouse        14    2   16     Mf Finn Paterson           9    2   11
Mf Ryan Welbeck            9    2   11     Fw Cong Li                16    2   18
Fw Matthew Peverell       15    2   17     Fw Jermaine Rogers        13    2   15
Fw Owen Harrison          13    2   15     Fw Kyle Bate              13    2   15
Fw Isaac Fortune-West     12    2   14     Fw Aaron Quinn            10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 43 27 65        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 40 25 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 43 27 74         T O T A L S       21 18 40 25 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.06 (no red card)

Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.11 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.1 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.72 (no red card)

Df Denis Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.34 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.43 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.86 (no second yellow)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.39 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.7 (no red card)

Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.58 (no red card)

Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.81 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 7.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 3.28 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.15 (no red card)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card)

Df Matías Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.02 (no red card)

Df Marty Hunter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.15 (no red card)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.85 (no red card)

Mf Finn Paterson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.18 (no red card)

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.73 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.06 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 29.72 (no injury) 
Sw Denis Pearce: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.78 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.91 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.83 (no injury) 
Df Denis Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.31 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.95 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.25 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.53 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.07 (no injury) 
Fw Isaac Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.66 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 34.22 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Harry Stewart is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.54 (no injury) 
Df Matías Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.49 (no injury) 
Df Marty Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.0 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.34 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Paterson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.66 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.63 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.15 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bate: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.17 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Cox SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cong Li SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 15

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           17  15  43  27  74
  Kendal Town FC           21  18  40  25  60

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 34 (74 - 40); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((27 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 55.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 35.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 42.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 65.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 6.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 15.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 81.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 19.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 15.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Isaac Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Owen Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 94.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           21  18  40  25  60
  Kingstonian FC           17  15  43  27  74

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 17 (60 - 43); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Cong Li
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kyle Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KINGSTONIAN FC 1  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Kendal has been a juggernaut this season. Not sure if we can slow them down.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/12 - 7:07 PM
Wait a second...Ian is in first place?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/12 - 10:32 PM
Jason slays Goliath to keep the final session interesting!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/15 - 2:01 AM
 
 
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