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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan Foster           14    0   14     Gk Luca Werner             2    2    4
Sw Jason Meyer            14    0   14     Sw Lukas Christiaens      12    0   12
Df Fabian Schulz          16    0   16     Df Algenon Webster        13    1   14
Df Robin Ostrander        10    1   11     Df Earl Kelly             10    0   10
Mf Harrison McBrayne      11    0   11     Df Clifton Ali            10    1   11
Mf Cameron Hill           10    1   11     Df Sean Callahan           6    2    8
Mf Luke Dunn               8    0    8     Mf Joe Barrett            11    1   12
Mf Ethan Peters            8    1    9     Mf Fernando Rocha          2    2    4
Fw Kerecsen Deák          13    0   13     Fw Liam Thwaite           11    1   12
Fw Nils Schneider         10    2   12     Fw Joe Evans              11    0   11
Fw Jamie Carroll           5    2    7     Fw Matais Juarez           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 27 39 32        ROSTER TOTALS       4 12 43 16 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 27 39 41         T O T A L S        7 13 43 23 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.33 (no red card)

Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.25 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.62 (no second yellow)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.08 (no red card)

Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.81 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.4 (no red card)

Mf Luke Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.35 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.69 (no red card)

Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.09 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.41 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.73 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 1.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 82.34 (no red card)

Sw Lukas Christiaens: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 49.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 18.39 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 73.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.32 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 46.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.94 (no red card)

Df Clifton Ali: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 79.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 99.16 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 56.59 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 64.24 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 45.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 26.25 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 43.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 98.46 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 88.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 50.56 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 76.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 78.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.56 (no injury) 
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 40.48 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schulz: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 83.69 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 83.37 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.08 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 56.62 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Dunn: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 73.13 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Peters: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 83.75 (no injury) 
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 20.31 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.37 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 14.77 (no injury) 
Sw Lukas Christiaens: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.99 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.32 (no injury) 
Df Clifton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.76 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.53 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.87 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.58 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.3 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Liam Thwaite is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.49 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Fabian Schulz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 2

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Algenon Webster SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 14

     intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14  14  27  39  41
  Tonbridge Angels         7  13  43  23  31

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 43)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((39 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 31) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Luke Dunn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Cameron Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Ethan Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Luke Dunn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         7  13  43  23  31
  Luton Town FC            14  14  27  39  41

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 2 (31 - 27) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((43 - 41) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Algenon Webster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
We have an awful record against the Hatters, can’t see us changing that this time.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/22 - 7:18 PM
Periodic shout out to departed and fondly remembered former Tonbridge manager Dave Dowson, NO ONE played more hardness!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 05/25 - 12:21 PM
Not quite sure how we won but we did somehow.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 05/30 - 10:17 PM
 
 
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