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Tuesday, December 3rd, 2024 - 06:02:41 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC                      SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17     Gk Leo Dury               16    2   18
Sw Fortunato  Torres      14    2   16     Sw Isaac Murray           15    2   17
Df Aidan O'Neil           14    2   16     Df Cliff Davies           11    2   13
Df Ben Lawrence           13    2   15     Df Johan  Kristensen       9    2   11
Df Benjamin Newton        13    2   15     Mf Andrew Durman          11    2   13
Df Trevor Harewood         9    2   11     Mf Joseph Terry            9    2   11
Mf Luis Schmidt           12    2   14     Fw Tobias Walter          16    2   18
Mf Michael Möller          9    2   11     Fw Ruben Diez             18    2   20
Fw Cooper Smith           13    2   15     Fw Freddie Rees           14    1   15
Fw Braulio  Salas         13    2   15     Fw Charlie Roberts        11    2   13
Fw Hans Fischer           14    2   16     Fw Ollie O'Brien           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 57 25 46        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 24 24 77    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  1  2  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 16 57 25 55         T O T A L S       21 18 26 26 77    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.3 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.09 (no red card)

Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.49 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.09 (no second yellow)

Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.76 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.3 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.79 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.04 (no second yellow)

Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.89 (no red card)

Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.93 (no red card)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card)

Sw Isaac Murray: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.81 (no red card)

Df Cliff Davies: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.93 (no red card)

Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card)

Mf Andrew Durman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.41 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.61 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.46 (no second yellow)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.43 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.72 (no red card)

Fw Charlie Roberts: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.47 (no red card)

Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 52.48 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.13 (no injury) 
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.41 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.88 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.02 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.12 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.92 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.39 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.69 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Cooper Smith is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.56 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.61 (no injury) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 30.15 (no injury) 
Sw Isaac Murray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.65 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Davies: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.68 (no injury) 
Df Johan  Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.24 (no injury) 
Mf Andrew Durman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.37 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.49 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.09 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.36 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.67 (no injury) 
Fw Charlie Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aidan O'Neil SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20  16  57  25  55
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  18  26  26  77

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 29 (55 - 26); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 77) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 86.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 77.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 56.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 0.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 47.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 53.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Hans Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  18  26  26  77
  Harrogate Railway AFC    20  16  57  25  55

Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 20 (77 - 57); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Mf Andrew Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 61.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Charlie Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 77.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Tobias Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0  -  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 0
 
Match Notes
Tight match here, always happy to share the points with Mr. Atie.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/13 - 9:20 PM
 
 
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