(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
League Round 16
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WELLING UNITED FC AFC WIMBLEDON Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Euan Fleming 16 2 18 Gk Kenzie Ross 17 2 19 Sw Douglas Pereira 16 2 18 Sw Aarron Lowe 16 2 18 Df Louie Ince 17 2 19 Df Riley O'Brien 11 2 13 Df Luca Herrmann 16 1 17 Df Louis Butler 14 2 16 Fw Leon Baumann 15 2 17 Df Lee Robertson 13 2 15 Mf Thomas Williams 15 1 16 Mf Aarron Shepherd 13 2 15 Mf Eoghan Carroll 17 2 19 Fw Reuben Thomas 15 2 17 Fw Greg Scott 15 2 17 Mf Marty Allen 12 1 13 Fw Lorenzo Santana 14 2 16 Fw Isaac Howells 13 1 14 Fw Gordon Andrews 11 2 13 Mf Paul Ellis 11 2 13 Fw Nils Pettersson 9 2 11 Mf Bradley McCarthy 11 2 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 36 35 74 ROSTER TOTALS 19 18 44 54 31 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 0 4 0 ======================================================================= 19 18 36 35 85 T O T A L S 22 21 44 58 31 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 80.11 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 53.49 (no red card) Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.18 (no red card) Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.72 (no red card) Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.31 (no red card) Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.96 (no red card) Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.01 (no red card) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.06 (no red card) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.37 (no red card) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card) Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.09 (no red card) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.51 (no red card) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.36 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.4 (no red card) Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.79 (no red card) Df Louis Butler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.23 (no red card) Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.88 (no red card) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.38 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.8 (no red card) Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.46 (no red card) Mf Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.2 (no red card) Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.63 (no red card) Mf Paul Ellis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.19 (no red card) Mf Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.96 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1 - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Euan Fleming: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 32.97 (no injury) Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.89 (no injury) Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no injury) Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no injury) Fw Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 84.05 (no injury) Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.06 (no injury) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.24 (no injury) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.69 (no injury) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.6 (no injury) Fw Gordon Andrews: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 6.89 (no injury) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.6 (no injury) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 91.59 (no injury) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.51 (no injury) Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no injury) Df Louis Butler: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.4 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Louis Butler is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Louis Butler new match skill level = 7 Louis Butler new match total level = 9 Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.64 (no injury) Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.72 (no injury) Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.53 (no injury) Mf Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 80.9 (no injury) Fw Isaac Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.16 (no injury) Mf Paul Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.06 (no injury) Mf Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.03 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Louie Ince SL 17 - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Reuben Thomas SL 15 - Defending Gk: Euan Fleming SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Welling United FC 19 18 36 35 85 AFC Wimbledon 22 21 37 58 31 Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 48 (85 - 37); result rounded up Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 58) / 2; rounded up) Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 31) / 3); result rounded up Welling United FC Total Attacks = 50 1: Attack for Df Louie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Luca Herrmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 71 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 75.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 3.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 71 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 13.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 70.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 87.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 35: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 65.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 37: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 38: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 40: Attack for Fw Gordon Andrews Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 41: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 42: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 90.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 43: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 44: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 45: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 30.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 46: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 47: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 48: Attack for Fw Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 49: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 27.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 50: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 72% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Wimbledon 22 21 37 58 31 Welling United FC 19 18 36 35 85 AFC Wimbledon is Playing For A Draw! AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 36) AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 6 ((58 - 35) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 85) / 3; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Mf Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 85.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 25.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WELLING UNITED FC 1 - AFC WIMBLEDON 1
Match Notes
Did my shooters think this was American Football?
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/14 - 9:40 AM
At least we still scored more than the xGs
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/14 - 9:42 AM