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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 42 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          16   -1   15     Gk Ryan Walsh             16    2   18
Df Gordon Brown           17    1   18     Sw Rendor Veres           16    2   18
Df Algernon Murphy         9    2   11     Df Adam Clarke            14    2   16
Df Devon Allen            13    2   15     Df Valentin Peralta       13    2   15
Df Evan Burns             14    2   16     Mf Robert O'Neal          13    2   15
Mf Sylar Kelley           16    2   18     Mf Francis Brakspear      13    2   15
Mf Bernd Lang             11    2   13     Fw Ian Lee                13    2   15
Mf Sheng Guo               9    2   11     Fw Ellis Ryan             13    2   15
Fw Lincoln Johnson        14    1   15     Fw Yong Sun  Yoo          13    2   15
Fw William Murphy         13    2   15     Fw Abe Chavez             13    2   15
Fw Arran Fergus           13    2   15     Fw Markus Laursen         14    2   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 60 42 45        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 31 30 76    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 72 42 45         T O T A L S       18 18 31 30 76    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.87 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.72 (no red card)

Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.79 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)

Df Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.75 (no red card)

Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.86 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.65 (no red card)

Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.62 (no red card)

Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.53 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.69 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.8 (no red card)

Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.97 (no red card)

Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.31 (no red card)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.15 (no red card)

Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.61 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.91 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.99 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.66 (no red card)

Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.64 (no red card)

Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.87 (no red card)

Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.79 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 43.71 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury) 
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.12 (no injury) 
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.1 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.54 (no injury) 
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.1 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.49 (no injury) 
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.25 (no injury) 
Fw Lincoln Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.78 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.61 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.2 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 26.09 (no injury) 
Sw Rendor Veres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.07 (no injury) 
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.87 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.55 (no injury) 
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.26 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.91 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Ryan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.6 (no injury) 
Fw Yong Sun  Yoo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.52 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.68 (no injury) 
Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.65 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Brown SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 16

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Adam Clarke SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        15   0  72  42  45
  Burton Albion FC         18  18  31  30  76

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 14 (45 - 31); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((72 - 76) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Sheng Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Lincoln Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw William Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 65.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         18  18  31  30  76
  Welling United FC        15   0  72  42  45

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 2 (76 - 72) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Ian Lee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Ellis Ryan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 0  -  BURTON ALBION FC 0
 

Match Notes

Eduard holding the fort at home while Dr White rolls in from Scotland hungry for goals. Welling need to lock the gates early or this could turn into a raid.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jun 27 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)  
Dr White came to score goals and left with nothing — Eduard held the line like a fortress wall. Sometimes a clean sheet is its own kind of victory.
~ Olmec Head Axel ~ Jul 4 (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC)  
Nothing impressive, but just enough to keep the lead
~ Eduard ~ Jul 10 (Welling United FC)  
 
 
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