(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Benjamin Guery 15 0 15 Gk Namir Cohen 9 2 11
Df Chris Howard 14 0 14 Df Zadok Chazan 8 2 10
Df Murray Taylor 14 0 14 Df Ruud Voorhees 10 0 10
Df Francis Martin 9 1 10 Df Paul Lange 7 2 9
Df Carleton Griffiths 4 2 6 Mf Martin Kristensen 14 2 16
Mf Alexander Daly 9 2 11 Mf William Pedersen 13 0 13
Mf Alistair Carr 8 2 10 Mf Nick Weiss 8 2 10
Mf Oscar Zapata 4 2 6 Fw Moritz Hofmann 14 2 16
Fw Sveinur Hansen 15 2 17 Fw Gabriel Whiteside 14 2 16
Fw Rhys McColl 15 0 15 Fw Peter East 11 1 12
Fw Trevor Hanny 9 2 11 Fw Tom Stevenson 11 0 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 0 44 27 43 ROSTER TOTALS 11 0 29 39 55
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 0 44 36 43 T O T A L S 11 0 29 39 55
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.27 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.37 (no red card)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.46 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.64 (no second yellow)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.95 (no red card)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.74 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.17 (no red card)
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.91 (no red card)
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.7 (no red card)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.95 (no red card)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.96 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.6 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.8 (no red card)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.18 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.84 (no red card)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.72 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.29 (no second yellow)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.18 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.36 (no red card)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.5 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.07 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.33 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.36 (no red card)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.24 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.19 (no injury)
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.12 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.32 (no injury)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.96 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.49 (no injury)
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.38 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Alistair Carr is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.76 (no injury)
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.99 (no injury)
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.77 (no injury)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.0 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.37 (no injury)
Df Zadok Chazan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.16 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no injury)
Df Paul Lange: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.5 (no injury)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.08 (no injury)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.74 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.16 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.96 (no injury)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.29 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Namir Cohen SL 9
intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martin Kristensen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 15
intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 15 0 44 36 43
Forest Green Rovers FC 11 0 29 39 55
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 14 (43 - 29); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 55) / 5; rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 24.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 61.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 91.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 11 0 29 39 55
Carlton Town FC 15 0 44 36 43
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 11 (55 - 44); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((39 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 43) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Nick Weiss
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 14.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 60.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 4 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 1
Match Notes
promotion chasing Carlton a tough game. We shall be competitive though
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/04 - 9:29 AM
we turned up
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 8:26 PM
just far too weak at the back
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 03/08 - 8:27 PM