(H)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC AFC FYLDE
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Erik Holm 15 0 15 Gk Erik Lundqvist 5 2 7
Sw Shane Sweeney 9 2 11 Df Matheo Seguin 16 0 16
Df Freddy Arboleda 15 2 17 Df Simon Bellec 16 0 16
Df Vegar Aas 15 2 17 Df Nathan Milner 9 2 11
Df James Hays 9 2 11 Df Logan Hughes 5 1 6
Df Nathan Meldrum 5 2 7 Mf Euan Barclay 16 0 16
Mf Gregor Millar 15 1 16 Mf Logan Stewart 9 0 9
Mf Cliff Gerrard 9 2 11 Mf Trevor King 9 2 11
Fw Gordon Burroughs 15 2 17 Mf Morgan Moore 5 2 7
Fw John MacDonald 9 2 11 Fw Ashley Ellis 9 2 11
Fw Leonardo Delgado 9 2 11 Fw Dorian Moine 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 11 52 27 39 ROSTER TOTALS 7 0 49 43 18
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 3 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 11 52 27 48 T O T A L S 10 0 49 46 18
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.98 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.43 (no red card)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.57 (no red card)
Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.28 (no red card)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.48 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.36 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.76 (no red card)
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.22 (no red card)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.45 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.12 (no red card)
******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Erik Lundqvist: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.47 (no red card)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.17 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.94 (no second yellow)
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.16 (no red card)
Df Nathan Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.09 (no red card)
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.33 (no red card)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.66 (no red card)
Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.55 (no red card)
Mf Trevor King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.03 (no red card)
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.12 (no red card)
Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.7 (no red card)
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.95 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.66 (no injury)
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.41 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.28 (no injury)
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.84 (no injury)
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.85 (no injury)
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.69 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.37 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.56 (no injury)
Fw Gordon Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.81 (no injury)
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.93 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.76 (no injury)
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Lundqvist: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.42 (no injury)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.77 (no injury)
Df Simon Bellec: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.15 (no injury)
Df Nathan Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.12 (no injury)
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.23 (no injury)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.61 (no injury)
Mf Logan Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.93 (no injury)
Mf Trevor King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.18 (no injury)
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no injury)
Fw Ashley Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.87 (no injury)
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.04 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Dorian Moine is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Dorian Moine new match skill level = 3
Dorian Moine new match total level = 5
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Freddy Arboleda SL 15
- Defending Gk: Erik Lundqvist SL 5
intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matheo Seguin SL 16
- Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 15
intRndPk = 69
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 15 11 52 27 48
AFC Fylde 10 0 49 46 16
AFC Fylde is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 49)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 46) / 2; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 12 ((52 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 54.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Nathan Meldrum
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 65.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Df James Hays
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 76.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Df James Hays
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 92.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 60.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 11.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Df James Hays
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Df Vegar Aas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Fylde
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Fylde 10 0 49 46 16
Harrogate Railway AFC 15 11 52 27 48
AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 52)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 10 ((46 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 48) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Trevor King
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Logan Stewart
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Logan Stewart
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Logan Stewart
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Logan Stewart
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 5 - AFC FYLDE 0
Match Notes
Beavers, Schmeavers…that’s what I always say.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/07 - 7:19 AM