(H)
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC FYLDE LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk James MacLeod 15 2 17 Gk Hayden Barnes 9 2 11
Sw Rhys Porter 16 -1 15 Sw Jamie Johnson 13 2 15
Df Ryan Lasserre 16 -1 15 Df Robin Ostrander 18 -2 16
Df Jeff Hughes 13 1 14 Df Sebastian Shrimpton 13 1 14
Df Rayan Blanc 12 1 13 Df Thomás Lebre 9 2 11
Df Matheo Seguin 9 2 11 Df Kenny White 9 2 11
Mf James Gallaher 15 -1 14 Mf Ivan Blanco 9 2 11
Mf Edward Newman 12 1 13 Mf Nathan Dean 5 2 7
Mf Euan Barclay 9 2 11 Mf David Perry 5 2 7
Fw Ellis Boddington 14 0 14 Fw Nathan Phillips 9 1 10
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho 12 2 14 Fw Philipp Hoffmann 5 0 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 15 53 38 28 ROSTER TOTALS 11 15 52 25 15
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 4 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
20 18 66 38 28 T O T A L S 11 18 56 25 15
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.18 (no red card)
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.82 (no red card)
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.15 (no red card)
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.26 (no red card)
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.31 (no red card)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.45 (no red card)
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.72 (no red card)
Mf Edward Newman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.46 (no red card)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.75 (no red card)
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.1 (no red card)
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.17 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.43 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.18 (no red card)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.93 (no red card)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.67 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card)
Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.35 (no red card)
Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.95 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.16 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.3 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.89 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.16 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.92 (no injury)
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no injury)
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.36 (no injury)
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.61 (no injury)
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.34 (no injury)
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.86 (no injury)
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.06 (no injury)
Mf Edward Newman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no injury)
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no injury)
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.05 (no injury)
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.59 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.39 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.26 (no injury)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.85 (no injury)
Df Sebastian Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.66 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.52 (no injury)
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury)
Mf Ivan Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.45 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.67 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.87 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.08 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.9 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ryan Lasserre SL 16
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 9
intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 18
- Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 15
intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Fylde 20 18 66 38 28
Luton Town FC 11 18 56 25 15
AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 56)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 7 ((38 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 17 ((66 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Mf Edward Newman
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 86.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.64 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 11 18 56 25 15
AFC Fylde 20 18 66 38 28
Luton Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 66)
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((56 - 28) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Df Sebastian Shrimpton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC FYLDE 3 - LUTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes
Fylde need a win to stay in the promotion hunt.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 03/01 - 3:51 PM