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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MARINE FC                                  MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk George Lindsay          8    0    8     Gk Felipe Carvalho         5    2    7
Df Afonso Gomes            8    0    8     Sw Gordon Gregory          5    2    7
Df Niall Dunn              8    0    8     Df Erik Meyer             12    2   14
Df Andy Simpson            8    0    8     Df Sying Yáng             10    2   12
Df Andres Bianchi          6    2    8     Df Billy Slater            5    2    7
Mf Jack Barry             10    0   10     Mf Sam Bate               12    2   14
Mf Adi Peretz              8    0    8     Mf Thomas Constant        12    1   13
Mf Miksa Kelemen           6    0    6     Mf Giorgio Testa           7    2    9
Fw Francesco Sala          8    0    8     Mf Leo Lee                 3    2    5
Fw Joel Sansom             8    0    8     Fw Luca Bell              13    1   14
Fw Liam McColl             7    2    9     Fw Eirik Iversen          10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 32 24 25        ROSTER TOTALS       7  7 33 41 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  2  2  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  0 34 26 28         T O T A L S        7  7 33 43 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.3 (no red card)

Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.79 (no red card)

Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.52 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Niall Dunn new match skill level =  4
      Niall Dunn new match total level =  4

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.58 (no red card)

Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.38 (no red card)

Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.77 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.55 (no red card)

Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.76 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.2 (no red card)

Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card)

Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.43 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.28 (no red card)

Sw Gordon Gregory: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.55 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.43 (no red card)

Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.4 (no red card)

Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.61 (no red card)

Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.28 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Sam Bate new match skill level =  6
      Sam Bate new match total level =  8

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.96 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.8 (no red card)

Mf Leo Lee: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.83 (no red card)

Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.11 (no red card)

Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 77.92 (no injury) 
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.28 (no injury) 
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.06 (no injury) 
Df Andres Bianchi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jack Barry is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jack Barry new match skill level =  5
      Jack Barry new match total level =  5
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.19 (no injury) 
Mf Miksa Kelemen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.28 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.53 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.66 (no injury) 
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.92 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 78.31 (no injury) 
Sw Gordon Gregory: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.4 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.04 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Erik Meyer is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Erik Meyer new match skill level =  6
      Erik Meyer new match total level =  8
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 21.25 (no injury) 
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.18 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Billy Slater is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.66 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.39 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.09 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Lee: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.03 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.38 (no injury) 
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.78 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Afonso Gomes SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Felipe Carvalho SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 52 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Bell SL 13
   - Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 8

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                8   0  30  21  28
  Mossley AFC              7   7  27  37  27

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 1 (28 - 27); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 5); result rounded up
Marine FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Afonso Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              7   7  27  37  27
  Marine FC                8   0  30  21  28

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 30)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((37 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 18.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 35.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 48.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 48.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 61.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MARINE FC 1  -  MOSSLEY AFC 1
 
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