(H)
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MOSSLEY AFC FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Felipe Carvalho 9 2 11 Gk Rafael Blanco 4 2 6
Sw Frank Hart 9 2 11 Df Kyle Harris 7 2 9
Df Billy Slater 10 1 11 Df Ruud Voorhees 5 1 6
Df Erik Meyer 10 1 11 Df William Laroche 4 2 6
Df Sying Yáng 11 1 12 Df Harley Bird 4 2 6
Mf Jason Ellis 12 2 14 Mf Luke Terry 9 2 11
Mf Giorgio Testa 11 2 13 Mf Jack Milligan 9 2 11
Mf Sam Bate 11 0 11 Mf Devon Lennon 7 2 9
Fw Sam Lewis 12 1 13 Fw Peter East 7 0 7
Fw Luca Bell 10 1 11 Fw Léo Lavaud 3 2 5
Fw Eirik Iversen 7 2 9 Fw Axel Le bihan 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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11 11 34 38 33 ROSTER TOTALS 6 0 27 31 17
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 3 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
11 11 38 38 43 T O T A L S 6 0 27 31 17
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.63 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.78 (no red card)
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.0 (no red card)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.18 (no red card)
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.31 (no red card)
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.32 (no red card)
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.19 (no red card)
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.29 (no red card)
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.6 (no red card)
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.36 (no red card)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.9 (no red card)
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.24 (no red card)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.39 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.22 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.0 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.13 (no second yellow)
Df William Laroche: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.36 (no red card)
Df Harley Bird: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.38 (no red card)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.52 (no second yellow)
Mf Jack Milligan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.34 (no red card)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.26 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.06 (no red card)
Fw Léo Lavaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.74 (no red card)
Fw Axel Le bihan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 63.45 (no injury)
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.23 (no injury)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.31 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Billy Slater is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Billy Slater new match skill level = 5
Billy Slater new match total level = 6
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.98 (no injury)
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.69 (no injury)
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no injury)
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no injury)
Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.78 (no injury)
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.56 (no injury)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.15 (no injury)
Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.17 (no injury)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rafael Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.41 (no injury)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.53 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.08 (no injury)
Df William Laroche: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.93 (no injury)
Df Harley Bird: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.3 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.35 (no injury)
Mf Jack Milligan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.71 (no injury)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.01 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.38 (no injury)
Fw Léo Lavaud: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.48 (no injury)
Fw Axel Le bihan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jason Ellis SL 12
- Defending Gk: Rafael Blanco SL 4
intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luke Terry SL 9
- Defending Gk: Felipe Carvalho SL 9
intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Mossley AFC 11 11 33 38 43
Forest Green Rovers FC 6 0 27 31 17
Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 16 (43 - 27); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((38 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((33 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Df Billy Slater
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 98.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Df Sying Yáng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 53.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Erik Meyer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 23.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Mf Sam Bate
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 20.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 53.1 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 89.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 83.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 80.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 57.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 16.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 5.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 7.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
23: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Eirik Iversen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 6 0 27 31 17
Mossley AFC 11 11 33 38 43
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 33)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 38) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
MOSSLEY AFC 5 - FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0
Match Notes
except to be thrashed here. 9-0 loss maybe
~ Mark ~ Jul 2 (Forest Green Rovers FC)
Mossley versus Forest Green. Two clubs, one ball, the inevitable passage of time. I find I have already processed every likely outcome and am no more cheerful for it.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 3 (Goole AFC)
except to be thrashed
~ Mark ~ Jul 6 (Forest Green Rovers FC)
so this seems a decent result oddly!
~ Mark ~ Jul 6 (Forest Green Rovers FC)
never scored yet again
~ Mark ~ Jul 6 (Forest Green Rovers FC)