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MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Monday, February 2nd, 2026 - 04:55:37 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BOSTON UNITED                              LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reece Wilkinson        14    1   15     Gk Hayden Barnes          14    1   15
Sw Charles Cook            9    1   10     Sw Jamie Johnson          13    0   13
Df Graham Pike            13    0   13     Df Thomás Lebre           13    0   13
Df Quentin Lesage         13    0   13     Df Philipp Koch           11    0   11
Df Emilio Esposito         2    2    4     Df Reis  Golan            11    0   11
Mf Gunnar Vik             13    0   13     Mf Victor Shepard         13    0   13
Mf Davide Martini          2    2    4     Mf Nathan Dean            10    0   10
Fw Giorgio Sanna          13    0   13     Mf David Perry            10    0   10
Fw Kenny Stretch          11    1   12     Fw Nathan Phillips        15    1   16
Fw Jacob Coppell          14    0   14     Fw Philipp Hoffmann       11    1   12
Fw Logan Edwards           5    2    7     Fw Corey Williams          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 30 17 46        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 35 33 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 30 18 54         T O T A L S       15 13 35 33 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.23 (no red card)

Sw Charles Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.67 (no red card)

Df Graham Pike: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.75 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)

Df Emilio Esposito: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.04 (no red card)

Mf Davide Martini: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.68 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.93 (no red card)

Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.55 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.94 (no red card)

Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.0 (no red card)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.0 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.55 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.67 (no red card)

Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.84 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.26 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.5 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.46 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.04 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.41 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.21 (no red card)

Fw Corey Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 49.02 (no injury) 
Sw Charles Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.61 (no injury) 
Df Graham Pike: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.34 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.56 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Esposito: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.79 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Vik: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.75 (no injury) 
Mf Davide Martini: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.69 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no injury) 
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.47 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.5 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.37 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.24 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.32 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.66 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.29 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.58 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.7 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.56 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.12 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.51 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jacob Coppell SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 14

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 14

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            15  10  30  18  54
  Luton Town FC            15  13  35  33  35

Boston United Fw Attacks = 19 (54 - 35); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            15  13  35  33  35
  Boston United            15  10  30  18  54

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (35 - 30); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((33 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Corey Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BOSTON UNITED 1  -  LUTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
"These two managers really do like each other."

Despite anything Al might try to say to the contrary
Rob (Boston United) 01/17 - 3:09 AM
A storied rivalry, some bitter feelings...this season is heating up fast.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/17 - 2:13 PM
I'd like to have 2 or 3 goals on 19 attacks, but I really can't complain about a draw too much. Seems reasonably fair.
Rob (Boston United) 01/24 - 2:59 AM
 
 
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