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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Elias Jönsson          15    2   17     Gk Rodrigo Ponte           9    2   11
Df Steve Gordon           14    2   16     Sw Melker Fransson        15    2   17
Df Ciaran Healy           13    2   15     Df Finlay Brown           14    2   16
Df William Larson         12    2   14     Df Kristoffer Myklebust   13    0   13
Df Henry Neville           5    2    7     Df Bailey Williamson       9    2   11
Mf Jordi Navarro          14    2   16     Mf Young Jae  Cho         14    2   16
Mf Lok Lín                 9    2   11     Fw Callum Martin          10    2   12
Mf Loïc Jacob              5    2    7     Mf Finlay Pearson          9    2   11
Fw Daniel Barbosa         15    2   17     Fw João Alves             15    2   17
Fw Michael Turner         16    2   18     Fw João Pinto             15    2   17
Fw Hayden Marshall         9    2   11     Fw Patrick Ludley         11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 52 34 46        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 40 27 58    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 52 43 50         T O T A L S       14 17 40 27 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 58.0 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.75 (no second yellow)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 58.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.01 (no red card)

Df William Larson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.98 (no red card)

Df Henry Neville: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.64 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.96 (no red card)

Mf Lok Lín: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card)

Mf Loïc Jacob: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.35 (no second yellow)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.3 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.59 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.83 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rodrigo Ponte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.99 (no red card)

Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.54 (no red card)

Df Finlay Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.11 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.6 (no red card)

Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.92 (no red card)

Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.91 (no red card)

Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.75 (no red card)

Fw João Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.73 (no red card)

Fw João Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.42 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      João Pinto new match skill level =  8
      João Pinto new match total level =  10

Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.33 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 38.72 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.93 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury) 
Df William Larson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.57 (no injury) 
Df Henry Neville: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.25 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.48 (no injury) 
Mf Lok Lín: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.48 (no injury) 
Mf Loïc Jacob: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.05 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.55 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.94 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.51 (no injury) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Rodrigo Ponte: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 88.3 (no injury) 
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.7 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Brown: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.32 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 46.44 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury) 
Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.78 (no injury) 
Fw Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 62.84 (no injury) 
Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.46 (no injury) 
Fw João Alves: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 13.01 (no injury) 
Fw João Pinto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.05 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Rodrigo Ponte SL 9

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: João Alves SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  52  43  50
  Droylsden FC             14  17  40  27  51

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 10 (50 - 40); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 8 ((43 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 1 ((52 - 51) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Steve Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Lok Lín
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Loïc Jacob
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             14  17  40  27  51
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  52  43  50

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 0 (51 - 52)
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2  -  DROYLSDEN FC 0
 

Match Notes

Tonbridge at home, Droylsden the visitors. Andy Shaw will presumably set up to keep it tight and win one nil, which is a plan in the same way that not moving is a plan.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 1 (Goole AFC)  
A relegation six pointer.
~ Andy ~ Jul 4 (Tonbridge Angels)  
Both teams find it hard to score, goalless?
~ Andy ~ Jul 4 (Tonbridge Angels)  
But we find it so easy to concede.
~ Dave ~ Jul 4 (Droylsden FC)  
Another win at last.
~ Andy ~ Jul 11 (Tonbridge Angels)  
 
 
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