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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18     Gk Jake Flynn             15    2   17
Sw Declan Wilson          16    2   18     Sw Sean Buckley           14    0   14
Df Liam Conner            14    2   16     Df Theo Crowley           10    1   11
Df Shayne Porter          14    2   16     Df Lok Guo                 9    2   11
Df Leo McNeill            10    2   12     Df Joshua Murphy           7    2    9
Mf Kai Jones              11    2   13     Df Max Hermansson          4    2    6
Mf Kenzie Munro            9    2   11     Mf Harvey Allen           17   -1   16
Fw André Souza            15    2   17     Mf Jeff Shilton           12    2   14
Fw Kai Burke              14    2   16     Mf Kyle Moore              9    0    9
Fw Leon Fischer           13    2   15     Fw Sean Sturridge         13    2   15
Fw Cole Hamilton           9    2   11     Fw Alexander Stewart       9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 44 24 59        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 37 39 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 18 44 24 68         T O T A L S       17 14 37 39 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.51 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.27 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.18 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.22 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.67 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.68 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.88 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.46 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.37 (no red card)

Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.32 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.33 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.56 (no red card)

Df Theo Crowley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.89 (no red card)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.86 (no red card)

Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.66 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.28 (no red card)

Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.66 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.31 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.01 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.48 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.42 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 43.8 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.52 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.27 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.82 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.89 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.1 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.19 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.36 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.06 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.29 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.37 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.76 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.91 (no injury) 
Df Theo Crowley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.03 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.66 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.12 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.02 (no injury) 
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.52 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.97 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.55 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Kyle Moore is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kyle Moore new match skill level =  5
      Kyle Moore new match total level =  5
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.91 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: André Souza SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 15

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

     intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         21  18  44  24  68
  Bedford Town FC          17  14  37  35  26

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 31 (68 - 37); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((44 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 35.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 29.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          17  14  37  35  26
  Ilkeston Town FC         21  18  44  24  68

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 44)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((35 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 68) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 62.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Kyle Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 0  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Steve never gives us anything so another tough one here
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 02/24 - 9:20 PM
I think we are concentrating on the cup final
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/01 - 7:13 PM
Steve didn’t read the script
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/01 - 7:14 PM
Nor did olmec so sorry
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 03/01 - 7:14 PM
Not your fault, Simon. A tough one to swallow but at least we stayed in third
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 03/01 - 9:33 PM
 
 
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