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Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HYDE FC                                    HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk João Barbosa           15    2   17     Gk Erik Holm              14    1   15
Sw Mason Ferdinand        13    2   15     Sw Shane Sweeney          14    1   15
Df Marco  Rodríguez       14    2   16     Df James Hays             13    2   15
Df Michael Wright         13    2   15     Df Freddy Arboleda        13    2   15
Df Pedro Almeida          13    2   15     Df Nathan Meldrum          9    2   11
Mf Riley MacTavish        14    1   15     Mf Gregor Millar          13    2   15
Mf Ashton Hill            13    2   15     Mf Nuno Eiras              5    2    7
Mf Cillian Jackson        12    2   14     Fw John MacDonald         13    2   15
Fw Brandon Collins        15    2   17     Fw Leonardo Delgado       13    2   15
Fw Dave Shilton           13    2   15     Fw Justin Neumann         13    2   15
Fw Jermaine Terry         14    0   14     Fw Lee Collins             9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 46 44 46        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 41 22 56    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 46 46 53         T O T A L S       17 15 41 22 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk João Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.61 (no red card)

Sw Mason Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.88 (no red card)

Df Marco  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.62 (no red card)

Df Michael Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.3 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.35 (no red card)

Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.29 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.26 (no red card)

Mf Cillian Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.01 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.14 (no red card)

Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.5 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.33 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.48 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.43 (no red card)

Df James Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.04 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.31 (no red card)

Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.46 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.29 (no red card)

Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no red card)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.1 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.93 (no red card)

Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.57 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk João Barbosa: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.41 (no injury) 
Sw Mason Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no injury) 
Df Marco  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.51 (no injury) 
Df Michael Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.03 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.91 (no injury) 
Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.33 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury) 
Mf Cillian Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.37 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.33 (no injury) 
Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.63 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 4.67 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.64 (no injury) 
Df James Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.95 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.53 (no injury) 
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.48 (no injury) 
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.99 (no injury) 
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.22 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.41 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Brandon Collins SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14

     intRndPk = 81
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: James Hays SL 13
   - Defending Gk: João Barbosa SL 15

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  17  15  46  46  53
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  15  41  22  56

Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 12 (53 - 41); result rounded up
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((46 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 61.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Ashton Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 68.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Cillian Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Brandon Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Brandon Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Dave Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Dave Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Dave Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Dave Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jermaine Terry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Dave Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Dave Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Jermaine Terry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Brandon Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Brandon Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  15  41  22  56
  Hyde FC                  17  15  46  46  53

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 10 (56 - 46); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Lee Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Justin Neumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 83.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw John MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HYDE FC 2  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
 

Match Notes

Cautious Carl versus The Commish. A man allergic to trophies hosting a man called The Commish. I have processed the heat death of stars with more enthusiasm.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jun 27 (Goole AFC)  
One of those, win and we get comfortable, lose and a relegation battle is ahead
~ Carl ~ Jun 28 (Hyde FC)  
Beavers beavers everywhere….
~ Phil ~ Jul 4 (AFC Fylde)  
Hyde win, Harrogate lose, Carl Oakes ticks another box on his checklist. The Commish will be furious, which is at least a feeling. I envy them both that.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 4 (Goole AFC)  
Not enough attacks against the tough Hyde. Well done CO!
~ Allan ~ Jul 4 (Harrogate Railway AFC)  
Not sure we are comfortable just yet but that win helps
~ Carl ~ Jul 5 (Hyde FC)  
 
 
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