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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           MOSSLEY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           12    2   14     Gk Mateo Romano           13    1   14
Sw Trevor Wallace         14    2   16     Sw Paul MacKenzie         11    0   11
Df Agostino Beretta       19    2   21     Df William Cockham        14    1   15
Df Earl Kelly             14    2   16     Df Eoin O'Neal            10    2   12
Df Sean Callahan           9    2   11     Df Gilberto Medina        10    1   11
Mf Joe Barrett            14    2   16     Mf Coll Wilson            14    1   15
Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15     Mf Algenon White          10    0   10
Mf Fernando Rocha          5    2    7     Mf Callum Davies          10    0   10
Fw Liam Thwaite           14    2   16     Mf Robbie Mitchell        10    0   10
Fw Paul Millot            13    2   15     Fw Rob Ramsey             11    1   12
Fw Matais Juarez           9    2   11     Fw Harry Clapinson        10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 48 38 42        ROSTER TOTALS      14 11 38 45 23    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  2  2  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 48 43 46         T O T A L S       14 14 40 47 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 96.46 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.27 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.01 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.43 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.91 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.28 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.29 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.23 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.65 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.65 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.88 (no red card)

Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.43 (no red card)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.0 (no red card)

Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.52 (no red card)

Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no red card)

Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.26 (no red card)

Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.79 (no red card)

Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no red card)

Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.71 (no red card)

Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.78 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 97.5 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.62 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.72 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.91 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.38 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.64 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.04 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.28 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.32 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.5 (no injury) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 57.63 (no injury) 
Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.79 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) 
Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.48 (no injury) 
Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.71 (no injury) 
Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.73 (no injury) 
Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.92 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.37 (no injury) 
Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.42 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.14 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 13

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         16  16  48  43  46
  Mossley AFC              14  14  40  47  23

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 6 (46 - 40); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((43 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 9 ((48 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              14  14  40  47  23
  Tonbridge Angels         16  16  48  43  46

Mossley AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 48)
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((47 - 43) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 3  -  MOSSLEY AFC 1
 
Match Notes
Continue to win our home games and we go up. Easily said than done.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/11 - 10:41 PM
We need points so gotta push the top teams. Tough to do on the road.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 5:37 PM
Didn’t expect a result in this one but hoped to squeeze a point out.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 8:35 PM
A very good result which keeps us on track.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/19 - 2:03 PM
 
 
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