(H)
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S TONBRIDGE ANGELS MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Diego Forlán 12 2 14 Gk Mateo Romano 13 1 14 Sw Trevor Wallace 14 2 16 Sw Paul MacKenzie 11 0 11 Df Agostino Beretta 19 2 21 Df William Cockham 14 1 15 Df Earl Kelly 14 2 16 Df Eoin O'Neal 10 2 12 Df Sean Callahan 9 2 11 Df Gilberto Medina 10 1 11 Mf Joe Barrett 14 2 16 Mf Coll Wilson 14 1 15 Mf Mateo Philippe 13 2 15 Mf Algenon White 10 0 10 Mf Fernando Rocha 5 2 7 Mf Callum Davies 10 0 10 Fw Liam Thwaite 14 2 16 Mf Robbie Mitchell 10 0 10 Fw Paul Millot 13 2 15 Fw Rob Ramsey 11 1 12 Fw Matais Juarez 9 2 11 Fw Harry Clapinson 10 1 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 16 48 38 42 ROSTER TOTALS 14 11 38 45 23 2 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 2 2 0 ======================================================================= 16 16 48 43 46 T O T A L S 14 14 40 47 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 2 Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.79 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 96.46 (no red card) Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.27 (no red card) Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.01 (no red card) Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.43 (no red card) Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 39.91 (no red card) Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.28 (no red card) Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.29 (no red card) Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.23 (no red card) Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.65 (no red card) Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.65 (no red card) Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card) ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.32 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.88 (no red card) Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.43 (no red card) Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.0 (no red card) Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.52 (no red card) Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no red card) Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.26 (no red card) Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.84 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.78 (no second yellow) Mf Callum Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.79 (no red card) Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.49 (no red card) Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.71 (no red card) Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.78 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 97.5 (no injury) Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.62 (no injury) Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.72 (no injury) Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.91 (no injury) Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.38 (no injury) Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.64 (no injury) Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.04 (no injury) Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.28 (no injury) Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.32 (no injury) Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.5 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Mateo Romano: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 57.63 (no injury) Sw Paul MacKenzie: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.79 (no injury) Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) Df Eoin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.48 (no injury) Df Gilberto Medina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.71 (no injury) Mf Coll Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.73 (no injury) Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.92 (no injury) Mf Callum Davies: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.37 (no injury) Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.42 (no injury) Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.14 (no injury) Fw Harry Clapinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.59 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19 - Defending Gk: Mateo Romano SL 13 intRndPk = 87 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick) ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: William Cockham SL 14 - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 11 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tonbridge Angels 16 16 48 43 46 Mossley AFC 14 14 40 47 23 Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 6 (46 - 40); result rounded up Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((43 - 47) / 2; rounded up) Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 9 ((48 - 23) / 3); result rounded up Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Df Earl Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Df Sean Callahan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Df Earl Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Df Earl Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Df Earl Kelly Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Paul Millot Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Paul Millot Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 92.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 14 14 40 47 23 Tonbridge Angels 16 16 48 43 46 Mossley AFC is Playing For A Draw! Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 48) Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((47 - 43) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Coll Wilson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E TONBRIDGE ANGELS 3 - MOSSLEY AFC 1
Match Notes
Continue to win our home games and we go up. Easily said than done.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/11 - 10:41 PM
We need points so gotta push the top teams. Tough to do on the road.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 5:37 PM
Didn’t expect a result in this one but hoped to squeeze a point out.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/13 - 8:35 PM
A very good result which keeps us on track.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/19 - 2:03 PM