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FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER                    DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18     Gk Einar Iversen          15    2   17
Sw Keith Davis             9    2   11     Sw Luciano Perea           9    2   11
Df Steven Gascoigne       15    2   17     Df Darren Dowson          14    2   16
Df Louie Hill             11    2   13     Df Edgar Moore            14    2   16
Df Diego Acosta            9    2   11     Df Samuel Hawkins          8    2   10
Mf Simon Fischer          17    2   19     Df Kristoffer Myklebust    4    2    6
Mf Cristobal Benitez      14    2   16     Mf Leon Laidlaw           14    2   16
Mf Glen Banks              9    0    9     Mf Graham Banks           13    2   15
Fw Baron Marshall         16    2   18     Mf Don Lindsay             9    2   11
Fw Ben Byrne              14    2   16     Mf Callum Martin           4    2    6
Fw Noah Schäfer            9    2   11     Fw Glen Ali                8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 41 44 45        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 48 48 10    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  4    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 41 44 54         T O T A L S       17 11 55 48 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.29 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.58 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.59 (no red card)

Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.62 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.96 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.75 (no red card)

Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.51 (no red card)

Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.21 (no red card)

Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.34 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 100.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.34 (no red card)

Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.17 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Einar Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.01 (no red card)

Sw Luciano Perea: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.82 (no red card)

Df Darren Dowson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.51 (no red card)

Df Edgar Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.38 (no red card)

Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.3 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.33 (no second yellow)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 9.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.22 (no red card)

Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.86 (no red card)

Mf Graham Banks: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.15 (no red card)

Mf Don Lindsay: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)

Mf Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.64 (no red card)

Fw Glen Ali: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 90.93 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.95 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.96 (no injury) 
Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.94 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.55 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.55 (no injury) 
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.27 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.13 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.93 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.89 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.24 (no injury) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 2
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Einar Iversen: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 90.59 (no injury) 
Sw Luciano Perea: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 84.42 (no injury) 
Df Darren Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.68 (no injury) 
Df Edgar Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.36 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.05 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.73 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.54 (no injury) 
Mf Graham Banks: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.43 (no injury) 
Mf Don Lindsay: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 28.25 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 62.71 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Ali: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Einar Iversen SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Darren Dowson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18  11  41  44  54
  Droylsden FC             17  11  55  48  16

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 55)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((44 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 9 ((41 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Diego Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Louie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 12.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Louie Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Diego Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Diego Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 78.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Steven Gascoigne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             17  11  55  48  16
  FC United of Manchester  18  11  41  44  54

Droylsden FC is Playing For A Draw!
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 41)
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((48 - 44) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 1 ((55 - 54) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Edgar Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Graham Banks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0  -  DROYLSDEN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Dave’s unbeaten in last 6 league matches, and has given up just 1 goal in that run! Been several seasons since we’ve won a league match, though we’ll give it a go here
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 02/24 - 3:38 PM
Less than 4 miles between the 2 clubs' grounds. Hoping to grab the local bragging rights.
Dave (Droylsden FC) 03/01 - 11:15 AM
Soooo close. Within 1% for a Pk and a goal, yet just didn’t get it done. Nicely played for the road draw, Dave.
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/03 - 3:58 PM
 
 
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