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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins           9    2   11     Gk Ryan Caron             15    2   17
Df Markus Jacobsen        14    2   16     Df Mason Shaw             14    2   16
Df Robert Howells         13    1   14     Df Evan Burke              9    2   11
Df Charles Clarke         11    2   13     Df Cliff Trickelbank       9    1   10
Df Gareth Trickelbank      9    2   11     Mf Ryan White             14    2   16
Mf Niklas König           14    2   16     Mf Ryan Ludley             9    2   11
Mf Christopher Cannon      9    2   11     Fw Jermaine Bennett       15    1   16
Fw William Hay            15    2   17     Fw Agustin Martínez       13    2   15
Fw Mark Solomon           13    0   13     Fw Kai Williams           12    2   14
Fw Sam East                9    2   11     Fw Raphaël Soulie          9    2   11
Fw Angus Williamson        8    2   10     Fw Aidan Anderson          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 54 27 51        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 37 27 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14  0 54 27 60         T O T A L S       18  0 37 27 68    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.07 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.32 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.05 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.9 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.7 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.97 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.18 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.03 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.83 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.43 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.17 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 42.34 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.94 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.9 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.91 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.3 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.59 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.79 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.47 (no red card)

Fw Kai Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.27 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.6 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 14.58 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.74 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.37 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.83 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.91 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.74 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.3 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.46 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.9 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.88 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.24 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 8.58 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.88 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.43 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.32 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.55 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.18 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.96 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.82 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.56 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.79 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Hay SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jermaine Bennett SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 9

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14   0  54  27  60
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  37  27  68

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 23 (60 - 37); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 68) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 23

1: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 1.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 44.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 53.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   18   0  37  27  68
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14   0  54  27  60

AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 7 (68 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 60) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Kai Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jermaine Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Kai Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kai Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Agustin Martínez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 3  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
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