(H)
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLTON TOWN FC AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk João Costa 8 2 10 Gk Kevin Hawkins 16 1 17
Df Francis Martin 14 2 16 Sw Kai Laidlaw 15 1 16
Df Chris Howard 14 1 15 Df Leonardo Greco 13 1 14
Df Carleton Griffiths 8 2 10 Df Baron Jackson 13 2 15
Mf Alexander Daly 13 2 15 Df Hayden Duncan 9 2 11
Mf Liam Dixon 12 1 13 Mf Gareth Scott 14 1 15
Mf Federico Gentile 10 2 12 Mf Henry Henry 9 2 11
Mf Oscar Zapata 7 2 9 Fw William Bell 12 2 14
Fw Trevor Hanny 14 2 16 Fw Sam East 15 1 16
Fw Hayden Richardson 9 2 11 Fw Elliot Bunyan 11 2 13
Fw Nicolás Ramírez 3 2 5 Fw Nick Baumann 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 41 49 32 ROSTER TOTALS 17 16 40 26 54
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 5 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 41 58 32 T O T A L S 18 16 45 26 55
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk João Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.92 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.98 (no red card)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.12 (no red card)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.45 (no red card)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no red card)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.59 (no red card)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.78 (no red card)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.66 (no red card)
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.48 (no red card)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.36 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.1 (no red card)
Fw Nicolás Ramírez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.49 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 57.8 (no red card)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.21 (no red card)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.48 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.48 (no red card)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.47 (no red card)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.18 (no red card)
Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.85 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.88 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.72 (no red card)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.09 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk João Costa: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 39.05 (no injury)
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.97 (no injury)
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.76 (no injury)
Df Carleton Griffiths: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.73 (no injury)
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.91 (no injury)
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.3 (no injury)
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.84 (no injury)
Mf Oscar Zapata: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.39 (no injury)
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.19 (no injury)
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.61 (no injury)
Fw Nicolás Ramírez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 22.22 (no injury)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.66 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Greco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.12 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.53 (no injury)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.25 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.55 (no injury)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.3 (no injury)
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury)
Fw Nick Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.56 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Francis Martin SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sam East SL 15
- Defending Gk: João Costa SL 8
intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlton Town FC 10 0 41 58 32
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 16 45 26 55
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 45)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 16 ((58 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 55) / 5; rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.8 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Mf Oscar Zapata
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 33.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 16 45 26 55
Carlton Town FC 10 0 41 58 32
Carlton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 7 (55 - 41) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 58) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 5 ((45 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Leonardo Greco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 69.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Baron Jackson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 70.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Df Hayden Duncan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Leonardo Greco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 3.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Nick Baumann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 40.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 13.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLTON TOWN FC 0 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2
Match Notes
Carlton Town versus Rushden & Diamonds. Two clubs, a ball, and the indifferent rotation of the earth. I shall watch, as I always do, with the quiet devastation of someone who knows how it ends.
~ Olmec Head Marvin ~ Jul 3 (Goole AFC)
Six pointer here. Not optimistic
~ John ~ Jul 3 (AFC Rushden & Diamonds)
Also Carlton have had our number dating back years it looks like
~ John ~ Jul 3 (AFC Rushden & Diamonds)
Kai stood on his head today
~ John ~ Jul 4 (AFC Rushden & Diamonds)